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The tournament hosts have predictably made it through to the knockout stages as group winners. Now, the question is: Can they kick into high gear as the competition gets tougher? Will Denmark have what it takes to upset Germany? Let’s dive into our predictions for the Germany vs Denmark match.
Germany vs Denmark prediction
For the Germany vs Denmark match prediction, we believe the final score will be a 1-0 win for Germany based on our analysis.
The Danish team, while resilient and possessing some dangerous players, might not be adequately prepared for this clash after a lackluster performance in Group C, where they failed to secure a single victory. It wouldn’t be surprising if they fall short against the experienced tournament hosts.
Our specific predictions for this knockout game are:
Robert Andrich to commit Over 1.5 Fouls @ +150 with bet365
Robert Andrich to get Booked @ +300 with bet365
Ilkay Gundogan to have Over 0.5 Shots on Target @ +100 with bet365
Germany vs Denmark betting odds
Current betting odds suggest that Germany has a 62.5% chance of winning this fixture, while Denmark has a 16.7% chance.
Our own calculations give Germany a 63.6% probability of winning, compared to Denmark’s 15.4%.
Germany vs Denmark head-to-head statistics
This will be the first meeting between these teams since 2021, when they played to a 1-1 draw in a friendly in Innsbruck, Austria. In 2017, they also drew 1-1 in a friendly held in Denmark.
The last competitive match between the two was at Euro 2012, where Germany won 2-1.
Germany vs Denmark preview
The match will be played on June 29, 2024, at Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund, with kick-off at 4:00 PM ET.
Germany cruised through Group A, securing their knockout spot after just two games by easily defeating Scotland and Hungary. However, their final group game against Switzerland saw them trailing from the 28th minute until stoppage time, saved by a late equalizer from Niclas Fullkrug.
Despite the close call against Switzerland, Julian Nagelsmann’s team dominated in terms of shots, shots on target, and expected goals (xG). This suggests there’s more to come from this German side, especially offensively.
Denmark’s group stage campaign was unusual. They drew all three of their matches, despite being the better team against Slovenia, outplaying England for large portions of their match, and dominating Serbia without managing to score.
While Denmark is clearly hard to beat, their inability to take the lead raises questions about their offensive capabilities against a team like Germany.
Germany vs Denmark betting picks
Here are three individual-focused bets for Saturday’s knockout game:
Robert Andrich Over 1.5 Fouls
Andrich is the enforcer in Germany’s midfield, often tasked with winning back possession and disrupting the opponent’s play. This aggressive style frequently attracts the referee’s attention.
In the opening match against Scotland, Andrich was subbed at halftime after committing four fouls in the first 45 minutes. While he calmed down against Hungary and Switzerland, he typically averages more than one foul per game domestically, making +150 odds look appealing.
Robert Andrich to be Booked
Andrich is no stranger to yellow cards, having already received one in this tournament and three in his last seven international appearances. Against a possession-oriented Danish midfield, led by the likes of Christian Eriksen, Andrich is likely to have a busy defensive evening.
Ilkay Gundogan Over 0.5 Shots on Target
Gundogan, known for his goal threat during his time at Manchester City, has continued to contribute offensively for Germany. As team captain, he has started all three group matches, scored once, and taken seven shots, two of which were on target. Given his willingness to shoot, odds of +100 for at least one shot on target seem generous.
Recap - Germany vs Denmark betting picks
To summarize, our recommended bets for this match are:
Robert Andrich to commit Over 1.5 Fouls @ +150 with bet365
Robert Andrich to get Booked @ +300 with bet365
Ilkay Gundogan to have Over 0.5 Shots on Target @ +100 with bet365
