St. Louis City vs Juarez prediction, picks & best bets

For St. Louis City of Major League Soccer and Juarez of Liga MX, there’s more Leagues Cup business to attend to on Sunday evening.

At CITYPARK, the hosts will be hoping to pick up back-to-back wins, something that has been a real rarity this season, while the Mexicans will be looking to cause an upset. Read on for our St. Louis City vs Juarez predictions.

St. Louis City vs Juarez prediction

For the St. Louis City vs Juarez match prediction, we believe the final score will be a 2-1 win for Juarez based on our analysis.

The hosts did win last time out, but they weren’t overly convincing, while they’ve certainly not won on a regular basis this season. Moreover, the visitors have a habit of catching teams out on the road, so don’t be surprised if they edge this one.

Our picks for St. Louis vs Juarez:

Juarez to Win @ +300 DraftKings Sportsbook

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St. Louis City vs Juarez betting odds

The Moneyline odds below imply that there’s a 54.5% chance of success for St. Louis. All current (at the time of writing) Moneyline implied probabilities can be found below, as well as our adjusted probabilities and the differences.

Bet	Odds	Implied probability	Our adjusted probability	Difference
St. Louis City	-120	54.5%	45.5%	-9.0%
Juarez	+300	25%	26.7%	+1.7%
Tie	+250	28.6%	27.8%	+0.8%

St. Louis City vs Juarez head-to-head statistics

There is no head-to-head record for this fixture. This will be the first ever meeting between the pair.

St. Louis City vs Juarez preview

This game will take place on 04/08/2024 at CITYPARK. Kick off will be at 20:00 local time.

After a long run of failing to get their noses in front, the St. Louis City fellas finally came out on top last time out, beating a depleted FC Dallas team by two goals to one.

The fans at CITYPARK will have been both relieved and thankful after that victory and they’ll now be hoping that their team can use the win as a platform from which to build. However, the signs aren’t too positive.

Let’s face it, despite winning, they didn’t exactly dominate, nor did they create the best impression. Of course, they may now gain momentum and do even better, but don’t be too surprised if the team that has only won two of their last eight at home goes back to struggling sooner rather than later.

The visitors also got the better of FC in their first Leagues Cup fixture, winning by two goals to nil, looking very dangerous on the break indeed.

Moreover, the visitors have done well away from home in general of late, winning three of their last four, scoring two or more goals in each of those four, so should we be surprised if they make life tough for the team temporarily coached by John Hackworth? Absolutely not.

St. Louis City vs Juarez picks

Despite the early betting point towards a quite likely home win, I’m siding with the visitors at what must be described as slightly generous odds.

Juarez to Win

There are two factors driving this bet. First and foremost, I really do feel that the early lines are an overreaction to St. Louis’ win last time out. That win doesn’t count for much, at least, it doesn’t count for as much as the current lines suggest.

Secondly, the Mexican team that will visit CITYPARK on Sunday evening also beat FC Dallas last time out and they did so in a more encouraging way than their hosts here did.

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The Juarez boys looked relatively sturdy at the back, while they looked a big threat on the break. This bodes well given the fact that St. Louis is a team that has found it very tough to keep things tight at the back this term.

We should also be looking at what the pair have produced offensively, because if this becomes about who can outscore the other, then I really do fancy the Mexicans.

The hosts have scored more than once in just one of their last five and that was against an FC Dallas side missing several key players. What’s more, the visitors have shown great offensive form on the road, as touched on above.

All in all, we’re talking about a home team that in the early betting is simply being overestimated, while the visitors appear to be a little underestimated, so betting on the away win is where the value lies.