The Ottawa Senators (10-12-2) welcome the Detroit Red Wings (10-11-4) to Canadian Tire Centre on Thursday night in what promises to be an intriguing Atlantic Division matchup with both teams looking to snap recent losing streaks.
Recent history between these teams heavily favors the Senators, who have won eight of the last ten meetings including three straight, with their most recent victory being a 3-2 decision at Little Caesars Arena.
The Red Wings enter the contest having dropped their last three games, including back-to-back overtime losses, while the Senators return home after a challenging road trip that saw them lose their last two outings.
Lucas Raymond has been Detroit's bright spot with eight points in his last five games, while Ottawa's Tim Stutzle continues his impressive form with eight points in his last six appearances.
Both teams face significant goaltending challenges, with Detroit likely turning to Ville Husso who holds a concerning 4.23 GAA this season, while Ottawa's Linus Ullmark looks to improve upon his 3.07 GAA.
This matchup could prove pivotal for both teams' playoff aspirations, as the Red Wings sit just three points out of a playoff spot while the Senators aim to close their five-point gap in the standings.
Ottawa Senators vs. Detroit Red Wings prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Ottawa Senators vs Detroit Red Wings matchup, our predictive model gives the Senators a 55% chance of defeating the Red Wings.
Ottawa Senators: 55% win probability
- Superior offensive output (75 goals scored vs Red Wings' 65)
- Better recent form (LLWWL vs Red Wings' LLLWW)
- Higher scoring efficiency (3.13 goals per game vs Red Wings' 2.60)
Detroit Red Wings: 45% win probability
- Struggling offense (65 goals scored, third-lowest in Atlantic Division)
- Poor defensive record (79 goals against in 25 games)
- Inconsistent performance (10 wins in 25 games, 0.400 win percentage)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
| Ottawa Senators | Detroit Red Wings | |
|---|---|---|
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Ottawa Senators vs. Detroit Red Wings form
Ottawa Senators vs. Detroit Red Wings head to head
Ottawa Senators
83%
Detroit Red Wings
17%
Oct 4, 2024
Detroit Red Wings
3 : 4
Ottawa Senators
Feb 1, 2024
Detroit Red Wings
2 : 3
Ottawa Senators
Dec 10, 2023
Detroit Red Wings
1 : 5
Ottawa Senators
Nov 16, 2023
Ottawa Senators
5 : 4
Detroit Red Wings
Oct 21, 2023
Ottawa Senators
2 : 5
Detroit Red Wings
Mar 1, 2023
Ottawa Senators
6 : 1
Detroit Red Wings
