The Toronto Maple Leafs welcome the Washington Capitals to Scotiabank Arena on Friday night in a compelling matchup between two division leaders, with both teams showcasing impressive recent form.
Toronto enters the contest riding a three-game winning streak and has won 10 of their last 12 games, while the Capitals arrive having earned points in five straight matches despite seeing their four-game winning streak snapped in their last outing.
The Maple Leafs have dominated the head-to-head rivalry recently, winning nine of the last ten meetings including a 4-3 overtime victory in their first encounter this season.
Toronto's dynamic duo of Auston Matthews and Mitch Marner has been clicking lately, with Matthews scoring twice in their latest victory and Marner collecting three assists, while the Capitals continue to adapt their offensive strategy in recent games.
Both teams have impressed defensively this season, with Toronto ranking second in goals against average at 2.52 and Washington sitting eighth at 2.84, setting the stage for what could be a tightly contested battle.
As these Eastern Conference powerhouses prepare to face off, recent history and current momentum suggest an intriguing matchup that could have significant implications for both teams' divisional standings.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Washington Capitals prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Maple Leafs vs Capitals matchup, our predictive model gives the Leafs a 67% chance of defeating the Caps.
Toronto Maple Leafs: 67% win probability
- Strong defensive performance (63 goals against, 4th best in league)
- Excellent win-loss ratio (16-7 record, 0.696 win percentage)
- Consistent recent form (WWWLW in last 5 games)
Washington Capitals: 33% win probability
- Poor defensive efficiency (71 goals against despite fewer games played)
- Lower points total (36 points in 25 games vs Toronto's 34 in 25)
- Inconsistent recent performance (LWWWW showing vulnerability)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
| Toronto Maple Leafs | Washington Capitals | |
|---|---|---|
| moneyline |
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Washington Capitals form
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Washington Capitals head to head
Toronto Maple Leafs
83%
Washington Capitals
17%
Nov 14, 2024
Washington Capitals
3 : 4
Toronto Maple Leafs
Mar 28, 2024
Toronto Maple Leafs
5 : 1
Washington Capitals
Mar 20, 2024
Washington Capitals
3 : 7
Toronto Maple Leafs
Oct 24, 2023
Washington Capitals
1 : 4
Toronto Maple Leafs
Jan 29, 2023
Toronto Maple Leafs
5 : 1
Washington Capitals
Dec 18, 2022
Washington Capitals
5 : 2
Toronto Maple Leafs
