The Detroit Red Wings (10-12-4) welcome the Colorado Avalanche (14-13) to Little Caesars Arena on Saturday night in what promises to be an intriguing matchup between two teams seeking to reverse their recent fortunes.
The Avalanche enter the contest having won five of their last ten games, powered by their dynamic offense that averages 3.26 goals per game behind the stellar play of Nathan MacKinnon and Mikko Rantanen, who have combined for 24 goals and 51 assists this season.
Detroit, meanwhile, has struggled recently with just three wins in their last ten games, though Lucas Raymond and Alex DeBrincat have provided offensive bright spots with their combined 20 goals and 29 assists.
Recent history favors the visitors, with Colorado winning eight of the last nine meetings between these longtime rivals.
Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities, with the Avalanche allowing 3.78 goals per game and the Red Wings surrendering 3.12, suggesting this matchup could feature plenty of scoring opportunities.
As these Original Six rivals prepare to face off, the key question remains whether Detroit can capitalize on home ice advantage to snap their current four-game losing streak or if Colorado's high-powered offense will continue their historical dominance in this series.
Detroit Red Wings vs. Colorado Avalanche: who will win?
For tonight's Detroit Red Wings vs Colorado Avalanche matchup, our predictive model gives the Avalanche a 55% chance of defeating the Red Wings.
Pre-game probabilities
Detroit Red Wings
Moneyline
Win %
55%
45%
Colorado Avalanche
Detroit Red Wings: 55% win probability
- Superior offensive output (89 goals for vs Red Wings' 66)
- Better overall record (14 wins vs Red Wings' 10)
- Higher points total (28 points vs Red Wings' 24)
Colorado Avalanche: 45% win probability
- Poor recent form (LLLLW in last 5 games)
- Weak offensive production (66 goals scored, lowest in Atlantic Division)
- Negative goal differential (-15 goals, allowing 81 while scoring 66)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts.
Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
| Detroit Red Wings | Colorado Avalanche | |
|---|---|---|
| moneyline |
Detroit Red Wings vs. Colorado Avalanche form
Detroit Red Wings vs. Colorado Avalanche head to head
Detroit Red Wings
17%
Colorado Avalanche
83%
Mar 7, 2024
Colorado Avalanche
7 : 2
Detroit Red Wings
Feb 23, 2024
Detroit Red Wings
2 : 1
Colorado Avalanche
Mar 18, 2023
Detroit Red Wings
1 : 5
Colorado Avalanche
Jan 16, 2023
Colorado Avalanche
6 : 3
Detroit Red Wings
Feb 24, 2022
Detroit Red Wings
2 : 5
Colorado Avalanche
Dec 11, 2021
Colorado Avalanche
7 : 3
Detroit Red Wings
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