The Ottawa Senators (12-13-2) welcome the Anaheim Ducks (10-12-4) to Canadian Tire Centre on Wednesday night in what promises to be an intriguing cross-conference battle between two teams seeking to turn their seasons around.
The Ducks arrive in Ottawa mired in a three-game losing streak, having managed just four goals during that span while struggling to generate consistent offense with their league-low 2.42 goals per game.
The Senators, despite their recent 4-2 loss to the Islanders, have shown flashes of offensive prowess this season, averaging 3.04 goals per game largely thanks to Tim Stutzle's impressive 34-point campaign.
Historical matchups favor the Ducks, who have won seven of their last ten meetings against Ottawa, including three straight victories in the head-to-head series.
While Ottawa enters as the favorite on home ice, where they've posted a respectable 8-6-1 record this season, the Ducks have proven to be a more competitive team on the road with a 5-3-3 mark away from Honda Center.
This matchup presents an interesting contrast between Ottawa's potent power play unit, operating at 25.8% efficiency, and Anaheim's defensive approach that has helped them stay competitive in tight games on the road.
Ottawa Senators vs. Anaheim Ducks: who will win?
For tonight's Ottawa Senators vs Anaheim Ducks matchup, our predictive model gives the Senators a 62.33% chance of defeating the Ducks.
Pre-game probabilities
Ottawa Senators
Moneyline
Win %
62.33%
37.67%
Anaheim Ducks
Ottawa Senators: 62.33% win probability
- Superior offensive output (82 goals scored vs Ducks' 64)
- Better points accumulation (26 points in 27 games vs Ducks' 24 in 26)
- More consistent scoring rate (3.04 goals per game vs Ducks' 2.46)
Anaheim Ducks: 37.67% win probability
- Poor recent form (LLLWL in last 5 games)
- Weak offensive production (League-worst 64 goals scored)
- Negative goal differential (-15 goals, allowing 79 while scoring 64)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts..
| Ottawa Senators | Anaheim Ducks | |
|---|---|---|
| moneyline |
Ottawa Senators vs. Anaheim Ducks form
Ottawa Senators vs. Anaheim Ducks head to head
Ottawa Senators
33%
Anaheim Ducks
67%
Dec 2, 2024
Anaheim Ducks
4 : 3
Ottawa Senators
Mar 7, 2024
Anaheim Ducks
2 : 1
Ottawa Senators
Feb 16, 2024
Ottawa Senators
1 : 5
Anaheim Ducks
Dec 13, 2022
Ottawa Senators
3 : 0
Anaheim Ducks
Nov 25, 2022
Anaheim Ducks
1 : 5
Ottawa Senators
Jan 29, 2022
Ottawa Senators
1 : 2
Anaheim Ducks
