The Edmonton Oilers (19-11-2) will host the San Jose Sharks (11-19-5) at Rogers Place on Saturday afternoon, with both Pacific Division rivals heading into the matchup on drastically different trajectories.
The Oilers have been one of the NHL's hottest teams, winning six of their last seven games and nine of their last eleven, powered by the dynamic duo of Leon Draisaitl (23 goals, 50 points) and Connor McDavid (30 assists, 45 points).
In stark contrast, the Sharks arrive in Edmonton amid a challenging stretch, having lost three straight games and six of their last seven, while struggling with a league-bottom 32.2 shots allowed per game.
Recent history heavily favors the home team, as Edmonton has won nine of the last ten meetings between these clubs, including their last five matchups at Rogers Place.
The statistical disparity between these teams is striking, with Edmonton ranking first in shots per game (32.2) while boasting the league's eighth-best scoring offense (3.3 goals per game), compared to San Jose's bottom-five defensive numbers.
As these Pacific Division rivals prepare to face off, the key question remains whether the Sharks can find a way to contain Edmonton's high-powered offense and break their recent pattern of struggles against the Oilers.
Edmonton Oilers vs. San Jose Sharks: who will win?
For tonight's Edmonton Oilers vs San Jose Sharks matchup, our predictive model gives the Oilers a 75.5% chance of defeating the Sharks.
Pre-game probabilities
Edmonton Oilers
Moneyline
Win %
75.5%
24.5%
San Jose Sharks
Edmonton Oilers: 75.5% win probability
- Strong offensive output (105 goals scored in 32 games)
- Excellent recent form (WLWWW in last 5 games)
- Higher league position (5th in Western Conference with 40 points)
San Jose Sharks: 24.5% win probability
- Poor defensive record (126 goals against, worst in Western Conference)
- Struggling recent form (LLLWL in last 5 games)
- Low win percentage (11 wins in 35 games, 14th in Western Conference)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts..
| Edmonton Oilers | San Jose Sharks | |
|---|---|---|
| moneyline |
Edmonton Oilers vs. San Jose Sharks form
Edmonton Oilers vs. San Jose Sharks head to head
Edmonton Oilers
83%
San Jose Sharks
17%
Apr 16, 2024
Edmonton Oilers
9 : 2
San Jose Sharks
Dec 29, 2023
San Jose Sharks
0 : 5
Edmonton Oilers
Nov 10, 2023
San Jose Sharks
3 : 2
Edmonton Oilers
Apr 14, 2023
Edmonton Oilers
5 : 2
San Jose Sharks
Apr 8, 2023
San Jose Sharks
1 : 6
Edmonton Oilers
Mar 21, 2023
Edmonton Oilers
5 : 4
San Jose Sharks
