The Toronto Maple Leafs welcome the New York Islanders to Scotiabank Arena on Saturday night in what promises to be an intriguing Eastern Conference matchup between two teams heading in opposite directions.

Toronto enters the contest riding high on a three-game winning streak, including an impressive 6-3 victory over Buffalo, while the Islanders look to bounce back from consecutive losses and a challenging stretch where they've dropped three of their last four games.

The historical context adds another layer of intrigue, as the Islanders have won their last four meetings against the Maple Leafs, including a 3-2 victory in their most recent encounter at Scotiabank Arena in February.

Toronto's high-powered offense, which has produced 11 goals in their last two games, will face a stern test against an Islanders team that, despite recent struggles, has historically matched up well against the Maple Leafs.

The goaltending battle between Toronto's Joseph Woll and the Islanders' Ilya Sorokin could prove decisive, with both netminders capable of stealing games for their respective teams.

As these Eastern Conference rivals prepare to face off, hockey fans will be watching closely to see if the Maple Leafs can maintain their winning momentum or if the Islanders can extend their head-to-head dominance in this compelling NHL matchup.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. New York Islanders: who will win?

For tonight's Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Islanders matchup, our predictive model gives the Leafs a 68.33% chance of defeating the Isles.

Toronto Maple Leafs: 68.33% win probability

  • Strong offensive output (103 goals scored in 33 games)
  • Excellent defensive efficiency (87 goals against, among league's best)
  • Consistent winning record (21-10 record, 3rd in Eastern Conference)

New York Islanders: 31.67% win probability

  • Struggling offense (86 goals scored, third-lowest in Eastern Conference)
  • Poor overall record (12-14, 13th in Eastern Conference)
  • Defensive inconsistency (103 goals against in 33 games)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. New York Islanders odds

Toronto Maple LeafsNew York Islanders
moneyline+1.54 (via DraftKings Sportsbook)+2.58 (via Caesars Sportsbook)

Key stats

  • 1
    The Toronto Maple Leafs have won 21 out of 33 matches this season.
  • 2
    The New York Islanders have won 12 out of 33 matches this season.
  • 3
    With 44 points, the Toronto Maple Leafs holds the 3rd position in the league standings.
  • 4
    New York Islanders's 31 points place them 13th in the rankings.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. New York Islanders form

Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs
Latest matches
W
W
W
L
W
Victories
4/5 (80%)
Defeats
1/5 (20%)
Dec 21, 2024
Buffalo Sabres3:6Toronto Maple Leafs
Dec 19, 2024
Dallas Stars3:5Toronto Maple Leafs
Dec 15, 2024
Buffalo Sabres3:5Toronto Maple Leafs
Dec 15, 2024
Detroit Red Wings4:2Toronto Maple Leafs
Dec 13, 2024
Anaheim Ducks2:3Toronto Maple Leafs
New York Islanders
New York Islanders
Latest matches
L
L
W
L
W
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Dec 18, 2024
Carolina Hurricanes4:0New York Islanders
Dec 15, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks5:3New York Islanders
Dec 13, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks4:5New York Islanders
Dec 11, 2024
Los Angeles Kings3:1New York Islanders
Dec 8, 2024
Ottawa Senators2:4New York Islanders

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. New York Islanders head to head

Toronto Maple Leafs

17%

New York Islanders

83%

Feb 6, 2024

Toronto Maple Leafs

2 : 3

New York Islanders

Jan 12, 2024

New York Islanders

4 : 3

Toronto Maple Leafs

Dec 12, 2023

New York Islanders

4 : 3

Toronto Maple Leafs

Mar 21, 2023

New York Islanders

7 : 2

Toronto Maple Leafs

Jan 24, 2023

Toronto Maple Leafs

5 : 2

New York Islanders

Nov 22, 2022

Toronto Maple Leafs

2 : 3

New York Islanders