The Detroit Red Wings welcome the Toronto Maple Leafs to Little Caesars Arena on Friday night for what promises to be an intense Atlantic Division and Original Six rivalry matchup.
Both teams enter this contest looking to reverse recent struggles, with the Red Wings having lost three straight games and making a significant coaching change, while the Maple Leafs aim to bounce back from consecutive losses including a 5-2 defeat to Winnipeg.
The historical context adds another layer of intrigue, as the teams have split their last ten meetings with Toronto holding a slight 5-4-1 edge, though Detroit has claimed victory in three of the last four encounters including a 4-2 win earlier this month.
Toronto's offensive prowess, averaging 3.09 goals per game, will be tested against Detroit's defensive challenges, with the Red Wings allowing 3.27 goals per contest this season.
The goaltending matchup likely features Joseph Woll for the Maple Leafs against Detroit's Alex Lyon, with both netminders looking to provide stability for their respective teams.
As these Original Six rivals prepare to face off in the Motor City, this matchup could prove pivotal for both teams' positioning in the competitive Atlantic Division standings.
Detroit Red Wings vs. Toronto Maple Leafs: who will win?
For tonight's Detroit Red Wings vs Toronto Maple Leafs matchup, our predictive model gives the Leafs a 54% chance of defeating the Wings.
Pre-game probabilities
Toronto Maple Leafs
Moneyline
Win %
54%
46%
Detroit Red Wings
Toronto Maple Leafs: 54% win probability
- Strong overall record (21 wins in 35 games)
- Superior goal-scoring ability (108 goals for this season)
- Better position in standings (4th in Eastern Conference with 44 points)
Detroit Red Wings: 46% win probability
- Poor defensive record (111 goals against)
- Struggling recent form (LLLWW in last 5 games)
- Lower point total (30 points in 34 games played)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts..
| Detroit Red Wings | Toronto Maple Leafs | |
|---|---|---|
| moneyline |
Detroit Red Wings vs. Toronto Maple Leafs form
Detroit Red Wings vs. Toronto Maple Leafs head to head
Detroit Red Wings
50%
Toronto Maple Leafs
50%
Dec 15, 2024
Detroit Red Wings
4 : 2
Toronto Maple Leafs
Nov 9, 2024
Toronto Maple Leafs
3 : 1
Detroit Red Wings
Oct 5, 2024
Toronto Maple Leafs
3 : 2
Detroit Red Wings
Oct 3, 2024
Detroit Red Wings
0 : 2
Toronto Maple Leafs
Apr 13, 2024
Toronto Maple Leafs
4 : 5
Detroit Red Wings
Jan 15, 2024
Toronto Maple Leafs
2 : 4
Detroit Red Wings
