The Tampa Bay Lightning (19-11-2) will host the New York Rangers (16-17-1) at Amalie Arena on Saturday night in what promises to be an intriguing Eastern Conference matchup.
The Lightning enter the contest riding high with seven wins in their last ten games, powered by their explosive offense that's averaging 3.94 goals per game and has netted 27 goals in their last six outings.
The Rangers, meanwhile, find themselves in a scoring slump with just seven goals in their last six games and are looking to snap a two-game losing streak.
Tampa Bay's dynamic trio of Nikita Kucherov, Brayden Point, and Brandon Hagel has been instrumental in their success, combining for an impressive 53 goals and 75 assists this season.
While the Rangers have struggled offensively, they still possess game-changing talent in Artemi Panarin and the reliable goaltending of Igor Shesterkin, who maintains a solid .913 save percentage.
This matchup between two teams heading in opposite directions sets the stage for what could be a pivotal moment in both teams' seasons, as the Lightning aim to strengthen their position in the Atlantic Division while the Rangers seek to reverse their recent fortunes.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Rangers: who will win?
For tonight's Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers matchup, our predictive model gives the Lightning a 58% chance of defeating the Rangers.
Pre-game probabilities
Tampa Bay Lightning
Moneyline
Win %
58%
42%
New York Rangers
Tampa Bay Lightning: 58% win probability
- Superior offensive efficiency (126 goals for in just 32 games)
- Better defensive record (90 goals against compared to Rangers' 102)
- Stronger recent form (WLWWW vs Rangers' LLWLL)
New York Rangers: 42% win probability
- Struggling offense (Only 96 goals in 34 games)
- Poor recent form (Lost 4 of last 5 games)
- Lower points percentage (33 points in 34 games vs Lightning's 40 in 32)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts..
| Tampa Bay Lightning | New York Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| moneyline |
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Rangers form
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Rangers head to head
Tampa Bay Lightning
33%
New York Rangers
67%
Mar 14, 2024
Tampa Bay Lightning
6 : 3
New York Rangers
Feb 8, 2024
New York Rangers
3 : 1
Tampa Bay Lightning
Dec 31, 2023
Tampa Bay Lightning
1 : 5
New York Rangers
Apr 5, 2023
New York Rangers
6 : 3
Tampa Bay Lightning
Dec 30, 2022
Tampa Bay Lightning
2 : 1
New York Rangers
Oct 11, 2022
New York Rangers
3 : 1
Tampa Bay Lightning
