The Toronto Maple Leafs (27-14-2) welcome the Vancouver Canucks (18-12-10) to Scotiabank Arena on Saturday night in what promises to be an intriguing cross-conference matchup.
The Atlantic Division-leading Maple Leafs, coming off a tough 6-3 loss to Carolina that snapped their five-game winning streak, will look to bounce back with their strong offensive unit led by William Nylander's 24 goals and Mitch Marner's impressive 45 assists.
Vancouver enters the contest facing significant challenges, having lost three straight games and playing the second half of a back-to-back following their Friday night game against Carolina.
The contrast in recent form is stark, with Toronto winning five of their last six while Vancouver has dropped five of their previous six contests, including six of their last seven road games.
Both teams will need to overcome notable absences, as the Canucks will be without key players Elias Pettersson and Filip Hronek, while Toronto must adjust their lineup without Jake McCabe and Calle Jarnkrok.
With Toronto's solid defensive record of allowing just 2.7 goals per game facing off against Vancouver's struggling defense that concedes 3.2 goals per game, this matchup could prove decisive in both teams' pursuit of playoff positioning.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Vancouver Canucks: who will win?
For tonight's Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vancouver Canucks matchup, our predictive model gives the Leafs a 56.67% chance of defeating the Canucks.
Pre-game probabilities
Toronto Maple Leafs
Moneyline
Win %
56.67%
43.33%
Vancouver Canucks
Toronto Maple Leafs: 56.67% win probability
- Strong offensive output (135 goals scored in 43 games)
- Excellent win-loss record (27-14 overall record)
- Recent momentum (LWWWW in last 5 games)
Vancouver Canucks: 43.33% win probability
- Poor recent form (LLLLW in last 5 games)
- Defensive struggles (130 goals against in 41 games)
- Lower points total (46 points vs Leafs' 56 points)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts..
| Toronto Maple Leafs | Vancouver Canucks | |
|---|---|---|
| moneyline |
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Vancouver Canucks form
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Vancouver Canucks head to head
Toronto Maple Leafs
33%
Vancouver Canucks
67%
Jan 21, 2024
Vancouver Canucks
6 : 4
Toronto Maple Leafs
Nov 12, 2023
Toronto Maple Leafs
5 : 2
Vancouver Canucks
Mar 5, 2023
Vancouver Canucks
4 : 1
Toronto Maple Leafs
Nov 13, 2022
Toronto Maple Leafs
3 : 2
Vancouver Canucks
Mar 6, 2022
Toronto Maple Leafs
4 : 6
Vancouver Canucks
Feb 13, 2022
Vancouver Canucks
3 : 2
Toronto Maple Leafs
