The Colorado Avalanche (29-20-2) will face off against the New York Islanders (21-20-7) at UBS Arena on Tuesday night in what promises to be an intriguing cross-conference matchup.
The Avalanche enter the contest riding high after a 5-4 victory over the Rangers, showcasing their potent offense that ranks sixth in the league with 167 goals this season.
Meanwhile, the Islanders have found their rhythm, winning four consecutive games despite their offensive struggles, averaging just 2.67 goals per game.
The contrast in playing styles sets up an compelling battle between Colorado's high-powered offense, led by Nathan MacKinnon and Casey Mittelstadt's combined 108 points, against the Islanders' resilient defense anchored by goaltender Ilya Sorokin.
Both teams have plenty at stake, with the Avalanche looking to solidify their wild card position in the Central Division while the Islanders aim to continue their recent surge and climb the Metropolitan Division standings.
This matchup could ultimately come down to whether the Islanders' defensive prowess, having allowed only five goals in their last four games, can contain Colorado's explosive offensive unit that's averaging 3.27 goals per game.
New York Islanders vs. Colorado Avalanche: who will win?
For tonight's New York Islanders vs Colorado Avalanche matchup, our predictive model gives the Avalanche a 66.67% chance of defeating the Islanders.
Pre-game probabilities
Colorado Avalanche
Moneyline
Win %
66.67%
33.33%
New York Islanders
Colorado Avalanche: 66.67% win probability
- Superior offensive output (168 goals for vs Islanders' 130)
- Higher points total (60 points in 51 games vs Islanders' 49 in 48 games)
- Better overall win record (29 wins vs Islanders' 21 wins)
New York Islanders: 33.33% win probability
- Lower scoring efficiency (130 goals in 48 games, 2.71 goals/game)
- Lower position in standings (14th in Eastern Conference vs Avs' 6th in Western)
- Fewer total wins (21 wins vs Avalanche's 29 wins)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts..
New York Islanders | Colorado Avalanche | |
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moneyline |
New York Islanders vs. Colorado Avalanche form


New York Islanders vs. Colorado Avalanche head to head

New York Islanders
33%

Colorado Avalanche
67%
Oct 15, 2024
Colorado Avalanche
2 : 6
New York Islanders
Jan 3, 2024
Colorado Avalanche
5 : 4
New York Islanders
Oct 25, 2023
New York Islanders
4 : 7
Colorado Avalanche
Dec 20, 2022
Colorado Avalanche
1 : 0
New York Islanders
Oct 29, 2022
New York Islanders
5 : 4
Colorado Avalanche
Mar 8, 2022
New York Islanders
4 : 5
Colorado Avalanche