The Ottawa Senators (28-20-4) bring their impressive four-game winning streak to Amalie Arena as they face the Tampa Bay Lightning (27-20-4) in a crucial Atlantic Division matchup on Tuesday night.
The Senators, fresh off a dominant 6-0 victory over Minnesota, have been clicking on all cylinders with 14 goals in their last three games while maintaining a solid defensive presence, allowing just five goals during that span.
Tampa Bay, despite their recent struggles with three losses in their last four games, continues to showcase one of the league's most potent offenses, averaging 3.45 goals per game behind Nikita Kucherov's remarkable 76-point campaign.
The season series currently favors Ottawa with a 1-0 lead following their previous 5-4 victory, adding extra intrigue to this divisional showdown.
Both teams have demonstrated strong special teams play, with the Lightning converting 26 percent of their power play opportunities and the Senators not far behind at 23 percent.
As these Atlantic Division rivals prepare to face off, the matchup presents an intriguing contrast between Ottawa's recent momentum and Tampa Bay's determination to defend their home ice and even the season series.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Ottawa Senators: who will win?
For tonight's Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators matchup, our predictive model gives the Senators a 61.67% chance of defeating the Lightning.
Ottawa Senators: 61.67% win probability
- Perfect recent form with 5 straight wins (WWWWW)
- Strong offensive output (153 goals for in 53 games)
- Excellent momentum with 29 wins in 53 games (54.7% win rate)
Tampa Bay Lightning: 38.33% win probability
- Inconsistent recent form (LWLLW)
- Fewer points despite similar games played (58 pts in 51 games)
- Lower win percentage (27 wins in 51 games, 52.9% win rate)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Ottawa Senators odds
| Tampa Bay Lightning | Ottawa Senators | |
|---|---|---|
| moneyline | +1.57 (via BetMGM Sportsbook) | +2.55 (via bet365 US) |
Key stats
- 1The Tampa Bay Lightning have won 27 out of 51 matches this season.
- 2The Ottawa Senators have won 29 out of 53 matches this season.
- 3With 58 points, the Tampa Bay Lightning holds the 9th position in the league standings.
- 4Ottawa Senators's 62 points place them 6th in the rankings.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Ottawa Senators form
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Ottawa Senators head to head
Tampa Bay Lightning
17%
Ottawa Senators
83%
Oct 19, 2024
Ottawa Senators
5 : 4
Tampa Bay Lightning
Apr 11, 2024
Tampa Bay Lightning
2 : 3
Ottawa Senators
Feb 20, 2024
Tampa Bay Lightning
2 : 4
Ottawa Senators
Nov 4, 2023
Ottawa Senators
4 : 6
Tampa Bay Lightning
Oct 15, 2023
Ottawa Senators
5 : 2
Tampa Bay Lightning
Apr 8, 2023
Ottawa Senators
7 : 4
Tampa Bay Lightning
