The Edmonton Oilers (34-16-4) will look to complete their first season sweep of the Colorado Avalanche (31-22-2) since 2016-17 when the Western Conference rivals clash at Rogers Place on Friday night.
The Oilers enter the contest riding high with victories in five of their last seven games, including back-to-back road wins against St. Louis and Chicago, while leading the NHL in shots on goal this season.
Edmonton's dynamic duo of Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl has already combined for an impressive 152 points this season, while Colorado's Nathan MacKinnon leads the league with 60 assists.
The previous two meetings this season have gone in Edmonton's favor, with the Oilers securing a 4-1 victory in November and a dramatic 4-3 win in January where they overcame a three-goal deficit in Denver.
Both teams bring significant offensive firepower to the matchup, with the Oilers ranking fourth in the NHL in scoring (3.30 goals per game) and the Avalanche sitting eighth with 176 goals on the season.
As these Western Conference powerhouses prepare for their final regular-season meeting, the question remains whether Edmonton can maintain their dominance over Colorado and strengthen their position atop the Pacific Division.
Edmonton Oilers vs. Colorado Avalanche: who will win?
For tonight's Edmonton Oilers vs Colorado Avalanche matchup, our predictive model gives the Oilers a 66% chance of defeating the Avalanche.
Pre-game probabilities
Edmonton Oilers
Moneyline
Win %
66%
34%
Colorado Avalanche
Edmonton Oilers: 66% win probability
- Superior offensive output (178 goals for in 54 games)
- Better overall record (34 wins vs 32 wins in similar games played)
- Strong recent form (WWLLW compared to Avalanche's WLWWL)
Colorado Avalanche: 34% win probability
- Poor defensive record (170 goals against, ranking bottom half of conference)
- Lower points total (66 points in 56 games vs Oilers' 72 in 54)
- Inconsistent goal differential (-11 compared to Oilers' +31)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts.
Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
| Edmonton Oilers | Colorado Avalanche | |
|---|---|---|
| moneyline |
Edmonton Oilers vs. Colorado Avalanche form
Edmonton Oilers vs. Colorado Avalanche head to head
Edmonton Oilers
67%
Colorado Avalanche
33%
Jan 17, 2025
Colorado Avalanche
3 : 4
Edmonton Oilers
Dec 1, 2024
Colorado Avalanche
1 : 4
Edmonton Oilers
Apr 19, 2024
Colorado Avalanche
5 : 1
Edmonton Oilers
Apr 6, 2024
Edmonton Oilers
6 : 2
Colorado Avalanche
Mar 17, 2024
Edmonton Oilers
2 : 3
Colorado Avalanche
Apr 12, 2023
Colorado Avalanche
1 : 2
Edmonton Oilers
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