Two of the NHL's hottest teams are set to face off as the Toronto Maple Leafs (38-20-3) travel to T-Mobile Arena to take on the Vegas Golden Knights (36-18-6) in what promises to be an electrifying matchup between division leaders.
The Maple Leafs enter the contest riding high with eight wins in their last ten games, powered by their dynamic offensive trio of Mitch Marner, William Nylander, and Auston Matthews who have combined for an impressive 75 goals and 115 assists this season.
The defending champion Golden Knights have found their rhythm with two consecutive wins and boast a formidable offense averaging 3.30 goals per game, led by the explosive partnership of Jack Eichel and Mark Stone.
Both teams have demonstrated exceptional defensive capabilities, with Toronto allowing just 2.85 goals per game while Vegas has limited opponents to 2.73 goals per contest.
The matchup features an intriguing goaltending battle between Toronto's Anthony Stolarz, who has posted a remarkable .926 save percentage, and Vegas's Adin Hill, who has been solid with a .906 save percentage.
As these powerhouse teams prepare to clash in a game that could have significant playoff implications, fans can expect an intense battle between two of the league's most complete teams.
Vegas Golden Knights vs. Toronto Maple Leafs prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Vegas Golden Knights vs Toronto Maple Leafs matchup, our predictive model gives the Leafs a 61.67% chance of defeating the Knights.
Pre-game probabilities
Toronto Maple Leafs
Moneyline
Win %
61.67%
38.33%
Vegas Golden Knights
Toronto Maple Leafs: 61.67% win probability
- Superior offensive output (196 goals for vs Knights' 199 in 1 fewer game)
- Better win percentage (38 wins in 61 games vs Knights' 36 in 60)
- Stronger recent form (LWWWW vs Knights' WWLWW)
Vegas Golden Knights: 38.33% win probability
- Lower points accumulation (78 points vs Leafs' 79 in more games)
- Less efficient scoring (199 goals in 60 games vs Leafs' 196 in 61)
- Weaker goal differential (+33 vs Leafs' +21 despite playing fewer games)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts..
| Vegas Golden Knights | Toronto Maple Leafs | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
Vegas Golden Knights vs. Toronto Maple Leafs preview
In a highly anticipated cross-conference showdown, the Toronto Maple Leafs (38-20-3) will face off against the Vegas Golden Knights (36-18-6) at T-Mobile Arena on Wednesday night, featuring two of the NHL's most dynamic offenses.
The Maple Leafs enter the contest riding an impressive streak with eight wins in their last ten games, leading the Atlantic Division thanks to their potent offense that's averaging 3.21 goals per game and has netted 27 goals in their last six outings.
Toronto's explosive trio of Mitch Marner, William Nylander, and Auston Matthews has been devastating, combining for 75 goals and 115 assists this season, while goaltender Anthony Stolarz has been outstanding with a .926 save percentage.
The defending champions Golden Knights have found their rhythm with two consecutive wins, maintaining their grip on the Pacific Division's top spot while showcasing a formidable offense that averages 3.30 goals per game.
Vegas's dynamic duo of Jack Eichel and Mark Stone has been instrumental in their success, contributing 35 goals and 88 assists between them, while their defense has been equally impressive, allowing just two goals in their last two games.
The Golden Knights' netminder Adin Hill has been solid between the pipes, posting a 2.52 goals-against average and a .906 save percentage across 942 shots faced this season.
This matchup presents an intriguing battle between Toronto's league-leading power play unit, converting at 23.53%, and Vegas's sturdy defense that's allowing only 2.73 goals per game.
With Vegas slightly favored at -128 and the over/under set at 6 goals, this cross-conference clash promises to be an entertaining showcase of high-octane offense and strategic defensive play.
Look for the special teams to play a crucial role, as both teams have demonstrated their ability to capitalize on power play opportunities while maintaining disciplined defensive structures.
Vegas Golden Knights vs. Toronto Maple Leafs form
Vegas Golden Knights vs. Toronto Maple Leafs head to head
Vegas Golden Knights
50%
Toronto Maple Leafs
50%
Nov 21, 2024
Toronto Maple Leafs
3 : 0
Vegas Golden Knights
Feb 28, 2024
Toronto Maple Leafs
2 : 6
Vegas Golden Knights
Feb 23, 2024
Vegas Golden Knights
3 : 7
Toronto Maple Leafs
Nov 9, 2022
Toronto Maple Leafs
3 : 4
Vegas Golden Knights
Oct 25, 2022
Vegas Golden Knights
3 : 1
Toronto Maple Leafs
Jan 12, 2022
Vegas Golden Knights
3 : 4
Toronto Maple Leafs
