The surging Indiana Pacers bring their high-octane offense to State Farm Arena tonight, where they'll face a Hawks team desperate to snap out of a brutal stretch that's seen them drop six of their last eight games.
While Indiana's Pascal Siakam has been lighting it up with 20.6 points per game, the Hawks' playoff hopes could hinge on whether Trae Young can suit up after being listed as day-to-day, adding another layer of drama to a matchup that's produced fireworks in recent meetings.
The Atlanta Hawks will host an Indiana Pacers squad that's had their number lately, winning five straight in the head-to-head series, though home court advantage could finally help turn the tide in this Eastern Conference showdown.
Atlanta Hawks vs. Indiana Pacers prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers matchup, our predictive model gives the Pacers a 55% chance of defeating the Hawks.
Pre-game probabilities
Indiana Pacers
Moneyline
Win %
55%
45%
Atlanta Hawks
Indiana Pacers: 55% win probability
- Better overall record (35-25 vs Hawks' 28-34)
- More efficient scoring defense (6906 goals against vs Hawks' 7424)
- Higher position in standings (5th in East vs Hawks' 9th)
Atlanta Hawks: 45% win probability
- Poor defensive record (7424 goals against, 3rd worst in East)
- Inconsistent recent form (LWLLW showing volatility)
- Negative point differential (-174 on the season)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts..
| Atlanta Hawks | Indiana Pacers | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
Atlanta Hawks vs. Indiana Pacers preview
The red-hot Pacers roll into State Farm Arena looking to extend their impressive five-game winning streak against the Hawks, who've been struggling to find their rhythm lately.
Indiana's high-octane offense has been a sight to behold, with Tyrese Haliburton fresh off a masterclass performance of 28 points and 15 dimes against Houston, though his day-to-day status adds some intrigue to this matchup.
The Hawks' playoff hopes hang in the balance as they've managed just two wins in their last eight games, and Trae Young's questionable status couldn't come at a worse time for a team desperate to avoid the play-in tournament.
Pascal Siakam has been a steady force for the Pacers, averaging 20.6 points per game, while the Hawks will need Dyson Daniels to step up big time if Young can't suit up.
Both teams are dealing with significant injuries - the Pacers might be without Bennedict Mathurin, while the Hawks are missing Jalen Johnson and Larry Nance Jr.
State Farm Arena has been a scoring paradise when these teams meet, with the over hitting in five of their last six matchups, setting up what should be another fast-paced shootout.
The contrast between Indiana's fourth-ranked field goal percentage and Atlanta's bottom-third defensive metrics could be the deciding factor in what promises to be an entertaining Eastern Conference clash.
Keep an eye on the Pacers' supporting cast of Aaron Nesmith and Myles Turner, who've been providing crucial offensive firepower and could exploit the Hawks' defensive vulnerabilities.
Atlanta Hawks vs. Indiana Pacers form
Atlanta Hawks vs. Indiana Pacers head to head
Atlanta Hawks
17%
Indiana Pacers
83%
Feb 1, 2025
Indiana Pacers
132 : 127
Atlanta Hawks
Oct 8, 2024
Atlanta Hawks
131 : 130
Indiana Pacers
Apr 14, 2024
Indiana Pacers
157 : 115
Atlanta Hawks
Jan 13, 2024
Atlanta Hawks
108 : 126
Indiana Pacers
Jan 6, 2024
Indiana Pacers
150 : 116
Atlanta Hawks
Nov 22, 2023
Atlanta Hawks
152 : 157
Indiana Pacers
