The struggling Miami Heat (29-32) face a tough test at Kaseya Center as they welcome the Minnesota Timberwolves (35-29), who are riding high on a three-game winning streak and coming off an impressive 125-110 victory over Charlotte.
While Bam Adebayo has been a force for Miami, putting up 34 points in their recent loss to Cleveland, the Heat's mounting injury concerns with Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, and Jaime Jaquez Jr. all questionable could prove decisive against a Timberwolves squad powered by the dynamic Anthony Edwards and his 27.5 points per game average.
The Miami Heat host the Minnesota Timberwolves in what promises to be an intriguing clash between two teams heading in opposite directions, with tipoff set for 8:00 PM at the Kaseya Center.
Miami Heat vs. Minnesota Timberwolves prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves matchup, our predictive model gives the Wolves a 61.67% chance of defeating the Heat.
Pre-game probabilities
Minnesota Timberwolves
Moneyline
Win %
61.67%
38.33%
Miami Heat
Minnesota Timberwolves: 61.67% win probability
- Better overall record (35-29 vs Heat's 29-32)
- Superior scoring output (7199 points scored vs Heat's 6722)
- Stronger recent form (3-2 in last 5 vs Heat's inconsistent 3-2)
Miami Heat: 38.33% win probability
- Struggling offense (Lowest scoring team in East with 6722 points)
- Below .500 record (29-32, 7th in Eastern Conference)
- Poor point differential (-22 on the season)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts..
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Miami Heat vs. Minnesota Timberwolves preview
The Miami Heat are looking to shake off their recent slump as they host a surging Minnesota Timberwolves squad at the Kaseya Center on Friday night.
Bam Adebayo's been a force for Miami lately, coming off a monster 34-point performance against Cleveland, but the Heat's depleted roster - with Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, and Jaime Jaquez Jr. all questionable - could spell trouble against the red-hot Wolves.
Minnesota's dynamic duo of Anthony Edwards and Jaden McDaniels are fresh off identical 29-point outings in Charlotte, showing just how dangerous this team can be when firing on all cylinders.
The Timberwolves' offense has kicked into high gear lately, averaging 117.1 points over their last ten games - well above their season average - while their defense remains one of the league's stingiest.
These teams have had some fascinating battles at the Kaseya Center, with seven of their last eight meetings turning into high-scoring affairs that went OVER the total.
Miami's home court hasn't been the fortress it once was, especially against Northwest Division opponents with winning records, though they've shown real fight lately - as evidenced by their comeback attempt against the Cavs.
The Heat will need every ounce of Adebayo's interior presence to counter Minnesota's balanced attack, which has been particularly lethal from beyond the arc, hitting 21 threes in their last outing.
With both teams fighting for playoff positioning - Minnesota sitting seventh in the West and Miami clinging to the eighth spot in the East - this cross-conference clash has all the makings of a classic.
Miami Heat vs. Minnesota Timberwolves form
Miami Heat vs. Minnesota Timberwolves head to head
Miami Heat
50%
Minnesota Timberwolves
50%
Nov 11, 2024
Minnesota Timberwolves
94 : 95
Miami Heat
Dec 19, 2023
Miami Heat
108 : 112
Minnesota Timberwolves
Oct 29, 2023
Minnesota Timberwolves
106 : 90
Miami Heat
Dec 27, 2022
Miami Heat
113 : 110
Minnesota Timberwolves
Nov 22, 2022
Minnesota Timberwolves
105 : 101
Miami Heat
Oct 4, 2022
Miami Heat
111 : 121
Minnesota Timberwolves
