The red-hot Tampa Bay Lightning, winners of nine of their last ten games and currently sitting third in the Atlantic Division, welcome a Boston Bruins team that's still finding its footing after a major trade deadline shakeup.
While the Lightning's offense has been lighting up the scoreboard with league-leading 3.60 goals per game, the Bruins have struggled to find the back of the net, averaging just 2.3 goals in their last ten outings and dealing with the departures of veterans Brad Marchand, Brandon Carlo, and Charlie Coyle.
The Tampa Bay Lightning host the Boston Bruins at Amalie Arena in what could be a pivotal matchup for both teams' playoff aspirations.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Boston Bruins prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Tampa Bay Lightning vs Boston Bruins matchup, our predictive model gives the Lightning a 62% chance of defeating the Bruins.
Pre-game probabilities
Tampa Bay Lightning
Moneyline
Win %
62%
38%
Boston Bruins
Tampa Bay Lightning: 62% win probability
- Elite offensive production (224 goals scored, 2nd highest in league)
- Strong goal differential (+59, 4th best in conference)
- Consistent winning record (37-21-0, 4th in Eastern Conference)
Boston Bruins: 38% win probability
- Struggling offense (172 goals scored, bottom third in conference)
- Poor recent form (LLLWL in last 5 games)
- Defensive issues (204 goals against, 12th in Eastern Conference)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts.
Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
| Tampa Bay Lightning | Boston Bruins | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Boston Bruins preview
The red-hot Tampa Bay Lightning welcome a struggling Boston Bruins squad to Amalie Arena in what's shaping up to be a tale of two very different trajectories.
Tampa's offense has been nothing short of electric lately, riding a 9-1 hot streak with Jake Guentzel's recent hat trick highlighting their explosive 6-5 win over Buffalo.
The Bruins, meanwhile, are trying to find their footing after shipping off veterans Brad Marchand, Brandon Carlo, and Charlie Coyle at the trade deadline - leaving them with a bunch of new faces to integrate into their system.
Morgan Geekie's been a rare bright spot for Boston, netting two goals in their recent loss to Carolina, but their offense ranks a dismal 28th in the league, averaging just 2.69 goals per game.
The Lightning's home ice has been a fortress this season, where they're putting up nearly 4 goals per game while Andrei Vasilevskiy continues to be a wall between the pipes.
This matchup feels particularly spicy given Boston's 6-2 win in their last meeting back in January, though that was with a very different-looking Bruins roster.
Keep an eye on Tampa's Nikita Kucherov and Brayden Point, who've been dishing out assists like Halloween candy, while Boston's David Pastrnak tries to spark some life into their struggling offense.
With the Lightning chasing Florida for the Atlantic Division crown and the Bruins desperately clinging to playoff hopes, this afternoon showdown at Amalie Arena should be a fascinating chess match between two teams heading in opposite directions.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Boston Bruins form
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Boston Bruins head to head
Tampa Bay Lightning
67%
Boston Bruins
33%
Jan 15, 2025
Boston Bruins
6 : 2
Tampa Bay Lightning
Jan 10, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning
4 : 1
Boston Bruins
Mar 27, 2024
Tampa Bay Lightning
3 : 1
Boston Bruins
Feb 14, 2024
Boston Bruins
2 : 3
Tampa Bay Lightning
Jan 7, 2024
Boston Bruins
7 : 3
Tampa Bay Lightning
Nov 21, 2023
Tampa Bay Lightning
5 : 4
Boston Bruins
