The red-hot Dallas Stars bring their explosive offense to Edmonton's Rogers Place, where they've been lighting up scoreboards with at least four goals in eight of their last nine outings despite missing key players like Tyler Seguin.
Edmonton's recent form has been shaky with just two wins in their last eight games, though Connor McDavid and company still boast the NHL's ninth-best scoring attack and could find their rhythm on home ice.
The stage is set for an intriguing Western Conference clash as the home team Oilers (36-22-4) look to avenge their early-season loss against the visiting Stars (41-19-2) in what promises to be a high-scoring affair.
Edmonton Oilers vs. Dallas Stars prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Edmonton Oilers vs Dallas Stars matchup, our predictive model gives the Stars a 64.67% chance of defeating the Oilers.
Pre-game probabilities
Edmonton Oilers
Moneyline
Win %
35.33%
64.67%
Dallas Stars
Edmonton Oilers: 35.33% win probability
- Defensive struggles (182 goals against, significantly higher than top teams)
- Inconsistent recent form (WLWLL showing vulnerability)
- Lower points total (76 points in 62 games vs Stars' 84 points in same games)
Dallas Stars: 64.67% win probability
- Dominant offensive output (213 goals scored, 2nd highest in Western Conference)
- Strong overall record (41 wins in 62 games, 0.661 win percentage)
- Recent momentum (WWWWL form, showing consistent performance)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts.
Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
| Edmonton Oilers | Dallas Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
Edmonton Oilers vs. Dallas Stars preview
The red-hot Dallas Stars roll into Rogers Place looking to extend their impressive four-game win streak against an Oilers squad that's been searching for consistency.
Jake Oettinger has been a brick wall for Dallas, posting a stellar .911 save percentage while anchoring the league's third-best defense - though they'll miss Miro Heiskanen's presence on the blue line.
Jason Robertson's clutch performance in Dallas' last outing, where he buried two goals including the OT winner against Calgary, shows he's hitting peak form at just the right time.
The Oilers' recent stumbles - going 2-6-0 in their last eight - have raised some eyebrows, but Evan Bouchard's last-second heroics against Montreal might be the spark they needed.
Stuart Skinner's recent struggles between the pipes (.875 save percentage in his last eight starts) could be a major factor, especially against a Stars offense that's been lighting up scoreboards with at least four goals in eight of their last nine games.
The Stars' recent acquisition of Cody Ceci has added extra muscle to their already formidable defensive corps, though they'll need it against Edmonton's ninth-ranked offense.
These Western Conference heavyweights last met in October when Dallas dominated with a 4-1 win, but the Oilers' home-ice advantage could level the playing field this time around.
Edmonton Oilers vs. Dallas Stars form
Edmonton Oilers vs. Dallas Stars head to head
Edmonton Oilers
50%
Dallas Stars
50%
Oct 19, 2024
Dallas Stars
4 : 1
Edmonton Oilers
Jun 3, 2024
Edmonton Oilers
2 : 1
Dallas Stars
Jun 1, 2024
Dallas Stars
1 : 3
Edmonton Oilers
May 30, 2024
Edmonton Oilers
5 : 2
Dallas Stars
May 28, 2024
Edmonton Oilers
3 : 5
Dallas Stars
May 26, 2024
Dallas Stars
3 : 1
Edmonton Oilers
