The Memphis Grizzlies look to build on their momentum after snapping a four-game skid with a convincing win over Dallas, while the struggling Phoenix Suns aim to break their road slump at FedEx Forum on Monday night.
Both teams bring explosive offenses to the court - with Memphis averaging 122.9 points behind Ja Morant's electric play and Phoenix putting up 114.3 per game thanks to the dynamic duo of Devin Booker and Kevin Durant - though defensive concerns plague both sides.
The Grizzlies have dominated the season series so far with a perfect 3-0 record as the home team seeks to complete the sweep against their Western Conference rivals.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Phoenix Suns prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Memphis Grizzlies vs Phoenix Suns matchup, our predictive model gives the Grizzlies a 69.5% chance of defeating the Suns.
Pre-game probabilities
Memphis Grizzlies
Moneyline
Win %
69.5%
30.5%
Phoenix Suns
Memphis Grizzlies: 69.5% win probability
- League-leading offense (7,852 goals scored - highest in Western Conference)
- Strong home court advantage (4th place in Western Conference with 40-24 record)
- Recent momentum (Won 2 of last 5 games despite tough schedule)
Phoenix Suns: 30.5% win probability
- Defensive struggles (7,454 goals against - bottom half of Western Conference)
- Road game inconsistency (11th place in Western Conference standings)
- Scoring efficiency issues (7,324 goals scored - below conference average)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts..
| Memphis Grizzlies | Phoenix Suns | |
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Memphis Grizzlies vs. Phoenix Suns preview
The Memphis Grizzlies look to build on their momentum after snapping a four-game skid with a convincing win over Dallas, while the struggling Suns aim to salvage their playoff hopes at FedEx Forum.
Ja Morant's explosive 31-point performance against Dallas, coupled with Desmond Bane's monster double-double of 27 points and 16 rebounds, shows the Grizzlies' offense is clicking at the right time.
The Suns' dynamic duo of Devin Booker and Kevin Durant combined for 63 points in their recent overtime thriller against Denver, but their road woes continue to haunt them with four losses in their last five away games.
Memphis' league-leading pace (107.5 possessions per game) could spell trouble for Phoenix's shaky defense, which has leaked 127.3 points per game in their last three outings.
The Grizzlies' dominance in this matchup is clear - they've taken all three meetings this season and have won six of their last ten against Phoenix.
Both teams might be short-handed, with Memphis monitoring Jaren Jackson Jr.'s ankle and Luke Kennard's back, while Phoenix awaits word on Monte Morris's availability.
The Grizzlies' superior rebounding (15+ offensive boards per game recently) and improved ball security give them a clear edge, especially on their home court where they're shooting over 48% from the field.
With Memphis pushing for better playoff positioning and Phoenix desperate to stay in the hunt, expect an up-tempo battle that'll test both teams' defensive resolve.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Phoenix Suns form
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Phoenix Suns head to head
Memphis Grizzlies
83%
Phoenix Suns
17%
Feb 26, 2025
Memphis Grizzlies
151 : 148
Phoenix Suns
Feb 12, 2025
Phoenix Suns
112 : 119
Memphis Grizzlies
Jan 1, 2025
Phoenix Suns
112 : 117
Memphis Grizzlies
Jan 8, 2024
Phoenix Suns
115 : 121
Memphis Grizzlies
Dec 3, 2023
Phoenix Suns
116 : 109
Memphis Grizzlies
Nov 24, 2023
Memphis Grizzlies
89 : 110
Phoenix Suns
