The struggling Detroit Red Wings head into Canadian Tire Centre desperate to halt their five-game skid, with their playoff hopes hanging by a thread after managing just 10 goals during this brutal stretch.
Ottawa's defensive prowess could spell trouble for Detroit, as the Senators have been riding their stalwart blue line and the stellar netminding of Linus Ullmark, who's posted an impressive .908 save percentage this season.
The home team Senators, fresh off two straight wins and holding onto the final wild card spot, square off against a visiting Red Wings squad that's looking increasingly vulnerable on both ends of the ice.
Ottawa Senators vs. Detroit Red Wings prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Ottawa Senators vs Detroit Red Wings matchup, our predictive model gives the Sens a 66% chance of defeating the Wings.
Pre-game probabilities
Ottawa Senators
Moneyline
Win %
66%
34%
Detroit Red Wings
Ottawa Senators: 66% win probability
- Better goal differential (-1 compared to Detroit's -21)
- Higher points per game ratio (1.11 vs 1.05)
- Stronger recent form (WWLWL vs LLLLL)
Detroit Red Wings: 34% win probability
- Poor defensive record (202 goals against in 63 games)
- Current five-game losing streak (LLLLL)
- Lower win percentage (47.6% vs 51.6%)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts.
Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
| Ottawa Senators | Detroit Red Wings | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
Ottawa Senators vs. Detroit Red Wings preview
The struggling Detroit Red Wings head to Canadian Tire Centre looking to snap their five-game skid against a surging Ottawa Senators squad that's found its groove with back-to-back wins.
Detroit's once-promising season has hit a rough patch, with their offense mustering just 10 goals in their last five outings while their defense has been leaking goals at an alarming rate.
The dynamic duo of Lucas Raymond and Dylan Larkin have been Detroit's silver lining, combining for an impressive 120 points, but they'll face a stiff test against Ottawa's lockdown defense led by Thomas Chabot and Nick Jensen.
Ottawa's defensive unit has been nothing short of spectacular, with Jake Sanderson and Travis Hamonic adding crucial depth that's helped them maintain one of the league's stingiest goals-against averages.
Between the pipes, it's a tale of two netminders - Ottawa's Linus Ullmark has been rock-solid with a .908 save percentage, while Detroit's Cam Talbot has struggled to find consistency, posting sub-.900 numbers.
The Sens' top line of Brady Tkachuk, Drake Batherson, and Tim Stutzle has been clicking lately, and they'll fancy their chances against a Red Wings defense that's allowed 21 goals in their last five games.
This matchup has massive playoff implications in the Eastern Conference wild card race, with Ottawa currently holding onto the final spot while Detroit's recent slide has them on the outside looking in.
Ottawa Senators vs. Detroit Red Wings form
Ottawa Senators vs. Detroit Red Wings head to head
Ottawa Senators
83%
Detroit Red Wings
17%
Jan 8, 2025
Detroit Red Wings
3 : 2
Ottawa Senators
Dec 6, 2024
Ottawa Senators
2 : 1
Detroit Red Wings
Oct 4, 2024
Detroit Red Wings
3 : 4
Ottawa Senators
Feb 1, 2024
Detroit Red Wings
2 : 3
Ottawa Senators
Dec 10, 2023
Detroit Red Wings
1 : 5
Ottawa Senators
Nov 16, 2023
Ottawa Senators
5 : 4
Detroit Red Wings
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