The surging Houston Rockets, winners of three straight and fresh off a defensive masterclass against Orlando, welcome a Phoenix Suns squad that's desperately trying to shake off a rough patch that's seen them drop 10 of their last 14 games.
While Kevin Durant's scorching shooting touch (including seven three-pointers in their last outing) gives Phoenix a puncher's chance, the expected return of Fred VanVleet to Houston's lineup could prove decisive for a Rockets team that's been dominating the offensive glass all season.
The Toyota Center crowd will be watching to see if the home team can maintain their perfect record in Wednesday night games when they face an away team that's shown a concerning tendency to surrender leads, as evidenced by their recent collapse against Memphis.
Houston Rockets vs. Phoenix Suns prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Houston Rockets vs Phoenix Suns matchup, our predictive model gives the Rockets a 66% chance of defeating the Suns.
Pre-game probabilities
Houston Rockets
Moneyline
Win %
66%
34%
Phoenix Suns
Houston Rockets: 66% win probability
- Superior offensive output (7339 points scored this season)
- Strong recent momentum (WWWLL in last 5 games)
- Better overall record (40-25 vs 30-35)
Phoenix Suns: 34% win probability
- Defensive struggles (7574 points allowed this season)
- Inconsistent form (LWLWL in last 5 games)
- Poor road performance (11th place in Western Conference)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts.
Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.
| Houston Rockets | Phoenix Suns | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
Houston Rockets vs. Phoenix Suns preview
The red-hot Houston Rockets are looking to extend their winning streak as they welcome a struggling Phoenix Suns squad to the Toyota Center on Wednesday night.
Houston's defense has been nothing short of spectacular lately, as shown in their dominant 97-84 victory over the Magic where they held their opponents to a measly 32% shooting from the field.
While the Suns have been in a rough patch, dropping 10 of their last 14 games, Kevin Durant's recent shooting clinic - including seven three-pointers en route to 35 points against the Grizzlies - shows they've still got some fight left in them.
The matchup presents an interesting contrast in styles, with Houston's league-leading offensive rebounding (14.7 per game) going up against a Suns team that's been struggling to protect the paint, ranking 29th in points in the paint this season.
Keep an eye on Jabari Smith Jr., who's been lighting it up for the Rockets, while the expected return of Fred VanVleet should give Houston's offense an extra boost.
The Suns' dynamic duo of Durant and Booker will need to replicate their recent offensive fireworks if they want to snap out of their road woes against Western Conference opponents.
With the Rockets riding high on their home court and the Suns desperate to turn things around, this matchup has all the makings of a classic Texas showdown.
Houston's suffocating defense and home-court advantage might just be too much for a Phoenix team that's still trying to find its rhythm on the road.
Houston Rockets vs. Phoenix Suns form
Houston Rockets vs. Phoenix Suns head to head
Houston Rockets
50%
Phoenix Suns
50%
Feb 13, 2025
Houston Rockets
119 : 111
Phoenix Suns
Mar 3, 2024
Phoenix Suns
109 : 118
Houston Rockets
Mar 1, 2024
Phoenix Suns
110 : 105
Houston Rockets
Feb 24, 2024
Houston Rockets
114 : 110
Phoenix Suns
Dec 28, 2023
Houston Rockets
113 : 129
Phoenix Suns
Dec 14, 2022
Houston Rockets
111 : 97
Phoenix Suns
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