The Pittsburgh Penguins welcome the St. Louis Blues to PPG Paints Arena in what shapes up as a tale of two teams heading in opposite directions - the Blues riding high with seven wins in their last ten while the Pens sit in the Metropolitan Division basement despite back-to-back victories.
Both squads have battled identical offensive woes this season, each mustering just 2.82 goals per game, though the Blues' stingy defense (2.97 GA/game) stands in stark contrast to Pittsburgh's leaky backend (3.57 GA/game).
The matchup pits Blues netminder Joel Hofer (.899 save percentage) against the Penguins' Alex Nedeljkovic (.891) as the home team looks to build momentum against a St. Louis squad fighting for their playoff lives.
Pittsburgh Penguins vs. St. Louis Blues prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Pittsburgh Penguins vs St. Louis Blues matchup, our predictive model gives the Blues a 57% chance of defeating the Pens.
Pre-game probabilities
St. Louis Blues
Moneyline
Win %
57%
43%
Pittsburgh Penguins
St. Louis Blues: 57% win probability
- Superior goal-scoring output (187 goals scored vs Penguins' 190 in 2 fewer games)
- Better recent form (LWWLW vs Penguins' WWLLL)
- Higher points total (69 points vs 62 points despite playing 2 fewer games)
Pittsburgh Penguins: 43% win probability
- Poor defensive record (244 goals against, worst in Eastern Conference)
- Current losing streak (Lost last 3 games in a row)
- Struggling at points accumulation (62 points in 67 games, 0.93 points per game)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts..
| Pittsburgh Penguins | St. Louis Blues | |
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| Moneyline |
Pittsburgh Penguins vs. St. Louis Blues preview
The struggling Penguins host the surging Blues at PPG Paints Arena in what's shaping up to be a crucial matchup for both teams' playoff aspirations.
St. Louis has found their groove lately, winning seven of their last ten, with the dynamic duo of Jordan Kyrou and Robert Thomas leading the charge - though their offense hit a speed bump last time out, managing just one goal.
Pittsburgh's veteran captain Sidney Crosby continues to be the bright spot in a dim season, teaming up with Rickard Rakell to generate most of the team's offensive production.
The Blues' defensive unit has been rock-solid lately, giving up just seven goals in their last three games, while the Pens' blue line, anchored by Erik Karlsson, has struggled to find consistency.
Both teams have had their share of goaltending woes this season - the Blues' Joel Hofer and the Pens' Alex Nedeljkovic are both looking to bounce back from sub-par performances.
This matchup features two teams averaging an identical 2.82 goals per game, suggesting we might be in for a tight, defensive battle at PPG Paints Arena.
The Penguins enter with some momentum after back-to-back wins, hoping their home ice advantage will help them build on that streak.
Keep an eye on the special teams battle - the Blues' penalty kill has been tested often this season, while the Pens' power play unit, converting at 24%, could be the difference-maker tonight.
Pittsburgh Penguins vs. St. Louis Blues form
Pittsburgh Penguins vs. St. Louis Blues head to head
Pittsburgh Penguins
83%
St. Louis Blues
17%
Dec 31, 2023
Pittsburgh Penguins
4 : 2
St. Louis Blues
Oct 22, 2023
St. Louis Blues
4 : 2
Pittsburgh Penguins
Feb 25, 2023
St. Louis Blues
2 : 3
Pittsburgh Penguins
Dec 4, 2022
Pittsburgh Penguins
6 : 2
St. Louis Blues
Mar 18, 2022
St. Louis Blues
2 : 3
Pittsburgh Penguins
Jan 6, 2022
Pittsburgh Penguins
5 : 3
St. Louis Blues
