The San Antonio Spurs welcome the Charlotte Hornets to Frost Bank Center on Friday night in what shapes up to be an intriguing clash between two teams heading in opposite directions.
With De'Aaron Fox's season-ending surgery leaving a massive void in the Spurs' offense alongside the already-sidelined Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell will need to shoulder the scoring load against a Hornets squad that's won seven of their last eight meetings between these teams.
The home team Spurs (27-37) look to build on their recent 126-116 victory over Dallas as they face the away team Hornets (16-49), who are coming off a tough loss to Atlanta despite LaMelo Ball's continued strong play averaging 25.5 points per game.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Charlotte Hornets prediction: who will win?
For tonight's San Antonio Spurs vs Charlotte Hornets matchup, our predictive model gives the Hornets a 53.67% chance of defeating the Spurs.
Pre-game probabilities
Charlotte Hornets
Moneyline
Win %
53.67%
46.33%
San Antonio Spurs
Charlotte Hornets: 53.67% win probability
- Better defensive efficiency (7342 points against vs Spurs' 7430)
- More consistent scoring output (6852 points in 65 games vs Spurs' 7286 in 64 games)
- Stronger recent form (LWWLL vs Spurs' WLLLW)
San Antonio Spurs: 46.33% win probability
- Poor defensive record (7430 points against in 64 games)
- Inconsistent home performance (12th position in Western Conference)
- Struggling offense (113.8 points per game, bottom third in league)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts..
| San Antonio Spurs | Charlotte Hornets | |
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| Moneyline |
San Antonio Spurs vs. Charlotte Hornets preview
The struggling Charlotte Hornets head to Frost Bank Center looking to build on their recent success against San Antonio, having won seven of their last eight matchups against the Spurs.
Charlotte's offense has been ice-cold this season, ranking dead last in field goal percentage, but LaMelo Ball's explosive scoring (25.5 PPG) and Miles Bridges' recent 35-point outburst against Miami show flashes of what this team can do.
The Spurs, meanwhile, are dealing with a major blow as De'Aaron Fox's season-ending surgery leaves a massive hole in their backcourt, putting extra pressure on Devin Vassell to step up as their primary scoring option.
Both teams have been pretty rough on defense lately - the Spurs are giving up 116 points per game while the Hornets aren't much better, letting opponents shoot over 46% from the field.
Keep an eye on the paint battle between Charlotte's Mark Williams, who's quietly putting up solid numbers with 15.7 points and 10 rebounds per game, and the Spurs' frontcourt that just dominated Dallas on the boards.
The last time these teams met, we saw a nail-biter with Charlotte squeaking out a one-point win, and Friday's matchup has all the makings of another close one between these rebuilding squads.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Charlotte Hornets form
San Antonio Spurs vs. Charlotte Hornets head to head
San Antonio Spurs
33%
Charlotte Hornets
67%
Feb 8, 2025
Charlotte Hornets
117 : 116
San Antonio Spurs
Jul 7, 2024
San Antonio Spurs
65 : 97
Charlotte Hornets
Jan 20, 2024
Charlotte Hornets
124 : 120
San Antonio Spurs
Jan 13, 2024
San Antonio Spurs
135 : 99
Charlotte Hornets
Jul 8, 2023
San Antonio Spurs
76 : 68
Charlotte Hornets
Jul 4, 2023
Charlotte Hornets
77 : 98
San Antonio Spurs
