The Phoenix Suns (30-35) welcome the Sacramento Kings (33-31) to the Footprint Center on Friday night in what promises to be an offensive showcase between two teams desperate to climb the Western Conference standings.
Kevin Durant's recent 35-point outburst against Memphis shows the Suns' scoring potential, while the Kings aim to bounce back from their disappointing 133-104 loss to the Knicks where their usually reliable offense shot just 41.9% from the field.
The Footprint Center crowd could witness a shootout between these Pacific Division rivals, with the Suns' seventh-ranked field goal percentage (48.0%) going up against the Kings' high-octane offense that averages 116.6 points per game.
Phoenix Suns vs. Sacramento Kings prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings matchup, our predictive model gives the Kings a 59% chance of defeating the Suns.
Pre-game probabilities
Sacramento Kings
Moneyline
Win %
59%
41%
Phoenix Suns
Sacramento Kings: 59% win probability
- Higher scoring efficiency (7465 goals for in 64 games vs Suns' 7546 in 66)
- Better overall record (33-31 vs Suns' 30-36)
- Stronger recent performance (3 wins in last 5 vs Suns' 2 wins)
Phoenix Suns: 41% win probability
- Poor defensive record (7685 goals against, ranking bottom third in conference)
- Inconsistent home performance (30-36 overall record, 11th in Western Conference)
- Negative point differential (-139 on the season, indicating structural defensive issues)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts..
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Phoenix Suns vs. Sacramento Kings preview
The struggling Phoenix Suns look to turn things around at home against a Kings squad that's also coming off a tough loss, setting up what should be an intense Western Conference battle at the Footprint Center.
Sacramento's recent defensive woes were exposed in their 133-104 defeat to the Knicks, where they allowed their opponents to shoot a blistering 53.6% from the field - a trend they'll need to fix against a Suns team that's been efficient on offense.
Kevin Durant continues to be a bright spot for Phoenix, fresh off a 35-point performance against Memphis, while the Kings will count on Malik Monk's spark off the bench after his 21-point showing in their last outing.
Both teams have been giving up more points than they'd like, with the Suns allowing 116.5 per game and the Kings not far behind at 115.2, which could make this a high-scoring affair.
The Suns' shooting efficiency (48% from the field) might give them an edge, but they'll need to clean up their turnover issues against a Kings defense that forces 14.2 giveaways per game.
With both teams desperate to improve their position in the standings, expect a back-and-forth contest where defensive adjustments could make the difference.
Keep an eye on the three-point battle - the Suns have been hot from downtown lately, hitting 52.6% in their last game, while the Kings have struggled, connecting on just 35.1% of their attempts this season.
Phoenix Suns vs. Sacramento Kings form
Phoenix Suns vs. Sacramento Kings head to head
Phoenix Suns
50%
Sacramento Kings
50%
Nov 14, 2024
Sacramento Kings
127 : 104
Phoenix Suns
Nov 11, 2024
Phoenix Suns
118 : 127
Sacramento Kings
Jul 20, 2024
Sacramento Kings
87 : 77
Phoenix Suns
Apr 13, 2024
Sacramento Kings
107 : 108
Phoenix Suns
Feb 14, 2024
Phoenix Suns
130 : 125
Sacramento Kings
Jan 17, 2024
Phoenix Suns
119 : 117
Sacramento Kings
