Fresh off their nail-biting 115-114 victory over Milwaukee earlier this week, the Indiana Pacers roll into Cream City looking to complete an improbable season sweep against Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Bucks.
The scheduling gods aren't doing Indiana any favors though - they're playing their fourth game in six nights while the well-rested Bucks have had time to stew over Tuesday's loss and make adjustments behind the lethal combo of Antetokounmpo (30.5 PPG) and Damian Lillard (25.2 PPG).
The home team Bucks (36-27) aim to protect their impressive 22-11 record at Fiserv Forum against the road-weary away team Pacers (35-28) in what shapes up as a pivotal clash for Eastern Conference playoff positioning.
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers matchup, our predictive model gives the Bucks a 55% chance of defeating the Pacers.
Pre-game probabilities
Milwaukee Bucks
Moneyline
Win %
55%
45%
Indiana Pacers
Milwaukee Bucks: 55% win probability
- Superior defensive efficiency (7,308 points against compared to Pacers' 7,485)
- Better win percentage (37-28 record vs Pacers' 37-28, with 2 fewer games played)
- Higher conference position (4th in East vs Pacers' 5th place standing)
Indiana Pacers: 45% win probability
- Struggling recent form (WWLLL compared to Bucks' WLLLW)
- Weaker defensive record (7,485 points against vs Bucks' 7,308)
- Road game disadvantage (identical 37-28 record but playing away)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts..
| Milwaukee Bucks | Indiana Pacers | |
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Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers preview
The Bucks are looking to settle the score after Tuesday's nail-biting 115-114 loss to Indiana, with Giannis Antetokounmpo and the crew showing they've still got plenty of fire after crushing the Lakers 126-106 in their last outing.
Indiana's been riding high on Pascal Siakam's hot streak - he dropped 25 points and snagged 12 boards in their last matchup with Milwaukee - but they're facing the tough challenge of a back-to-back after Friday's Philly game.
Milwaukee's home court advantage at Fiserv Forum, where they've built an impressive 22-11 record this season, could be the difference-maker in this Central Division clash.
The Greek Freak's been putting up monster numbers, averaging 30.5 points and 12.1 rebounds, while Dame Lillard's addition has given the Bucks a deadly one-two punch that's helped them hit 38.4% from beyond the arc - second-best in the league.
Both teams have been lighting up the scoreboard lately, with the Bucks putting up 118.3 points per game in their last ten, while Indiana's offense ranks tenth in the league at 116.4 points per night.
Keep an eye on Brook Lopez, who's coming off a stellar 23-point performance against the Pacers and could be a key factor in controlling the paint.
The Bucks' defense, allowing just 112.4 points per game, will have their hands full containing Indiana's high-octane offense that's dishing out 29.1 assists per game - fourth-best in the NBA.
With Milwaukee's sharpshooting and Indiana's fast-paced style, this Saturday night showdown at Fiserv Forum has all the makings of another classic between these division rivals.
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers form
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers head to head
Milwaukee Bucks
50%
Indiana Pacers
50%
Mar 11, 2025
Indiana Pacers
115 : 114
Milwaukee Bucks
Dec 31, 2024
Indiana Pacers
112 : 120
Milwaukee Bucks
Nov 23, 2024
Milwaukee Bucks
129 : 117
Indiana Pacers
May 2, 2024
Indiana Pacers
120 : 98
Milwaukee Bucks
May 1, 2024
Milwaukee Bucks
115 : 92
Indiana Pacers
Apr 28, 2024
Indiana Pacers
126 : 113
Milwaukee Bucks
