Fresh off their nail-biting 115-114 victory over Milwaukee earlier this week, the Indiana Pacers roll into Cream City looking to complete an improbable season sweep against Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Bucks.

The scheduling gods aren't doing Indiana any favors though - they're playing their fourth game in six nights while the well-rested Bucks have had time to stew over Tuesday's loss and make adjustments behind the lethal combo of Antetokounmpo (30.5 PPG) and Damian Lillard (25.2 PPG).

The home team Bucks (36-27) aim to protect their impressive 22-11 record at Fiserv Forum against the road-weary away team Pacers (35-28) in what shapes up as a pivotal clash for Eastern Conference playoff positioning.

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers matchup, our predictive model gives the Bucks a 55% chance of defeating the Pacers.

Milwaukee Bucks: 55% win probability

  • Superior defensive efficiency (7,308 points against compared to Pacers' 7,485)
  • Better win percentage (37-28 record vs Pacers' 37-28, with 2 fewer games played)
  • Higher conference position (4th in East vs Pacers' 5th place standing)

Indiana Pacers: 45% win probability

  • Struggling recent form (WWLLL compared to Bucks' WLLLW)
  • Weaker defensive record (7,485 points against vs Bucks' 7,308)
  • Road game disadvantage (identical 37-28 record but playing away)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers odds

Here are the latest odds for this NBA matchup as the Milwaukee Bucks host the Indiana Pacers at home on Saturday, March 15.

Milwaukee BucksIndiana Pacers
Moneyline-200 (via bet365 US)+172 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers preview

The Bucks are looking to settle the score after Tuesday's nail-biting 115-114 loss to Indiana, with Giannis Antetokounmpo and the crew showing they've still got plenty of fire after crushing the Lakers 126-106 in their last outing.

Indiana's been riding high on Pascal Siakam's hot streak - he dropped 25 points and snagged 12 boards in their last matchup with Milwaukee - but they're facing the tough challenge of a back-to-back after Friday's Philly game.

Milwaukee's home court advantage at Fiserv Forum, where they've built an impressive 22-11 record this season, could be the difference-maker in this Central Division clash.

The Greek Freak's been putting up monster numbers, averaging 30.5 points and 12.1 rebounds, while Dame Lillard's addition has given the Bucks a deadly one-two punch that's helped them hit 38.4% from beyond the arc - second-best in the league.

Both teams have been lighting up the scoreboard lately, with the Bucks putting up 118.3 points per game in their last ten, while Indiana's offense ranks tenth in the league at 116.4 points per night.

Keep an eye on Brook Lopez, who's coming off a stellar 23-point performance against the Pacers and could be a key factor in controlling the paint.

The Bucks' defense, allowing just 112.4 points per game, will have their hands full containing Indiana's high-octane offense that's dishing out 29.1 assists per game - fourth-best in the NBA.

With Milwaukee's sharpshooting and Indiana's fast-paced style, this Saturday night showdown at Fiserv Forum has all the makings of another classic between these division rivals.

Key stats

  • 1
    Both teams hold identical 37-28 records, sitting 4th and 5th in Eastern Conference
  • 2
    Bucks show inconsistent form with WLLLW while Pacers trend downward at WWLLL
  • 3
    Pacers maintain slight scoring edge, averaging 116.3 points vs Bucks' 114.8 per game
  • 4
    Milwaukee holds defensive advantage with 7,308 goals against compared to Indiana's 7,485

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers form

Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks
Latest matches
W
L
L
L
W
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Mar 13, 2025
Los Angeles Lakers106:126Milwaukee Bucks
Mar 11, 2025
Indiana Pacers115:114Milwaukee Bucks
Mar 10, 2025
Cleveland Cavaliers112:100Milwaukee Bucks
Mar 9, 2025
Orlando Magic111:109Milwaukee Bucks
Mar 6, 2025
Dallas Mavericks107:137Milwaukee Bucks
Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers
Latest matches
W
L
L
L
W
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Mar 11, 2025
Milwaukee Bucks114:115Indiana Pacers
Mar 11, 2025
Chicago Bulls121:103Indiana Pacers
Mar 9, 2025
Atlanta Hawks120:118Indiana Pacers
Mar 7, 2025
Atlanta Hawks124:118Indiana Pacers
Mar 5, 2025
Houston Rockets102:115Indiana Pacers

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers head to head

Milwaukee Bucks

50%

Indiana Pacers

50%

Mar 11, 2025

Indiana Pacers

115 : 114

Milwaukee Bucks

Dec 31, 2024

Indiana Pacers

112 : 120

Milwaukee Bucks

Nov 23, 2024

Milwaukee Bucks

129 : 117

Indiana Pacers

May 2, 2024

Indiana Pacers

120 : 98

Milwaukee Bucks

May 1, 2024

Milwaukee Bucks

115 : 92

Indiana Pacers

Apr 28, 2024

Indiana Pacers

126 : 113

Milwaukee Bucks