The red-hot Denver Nuggets, fresh off a dominant 140-127 victory over the Thunder where they shot a blistering 60.5% from the field, welcome the Washington Wizards to Ball Arena in what could be a lopsided affair.
While Nikola Jokic continues his MVP-caliber campaign, coming off a monster 35-point, 18-rebound performance, the Wizards enter this matchup reeling from a tough loss to Detroit and sitting near the bottom of the league with their 13-50 record.
The league-leading Nuggets offense (50.8% field goal percentage) faces off against a Wizards defense that's allowing 120.5 points per game - setting up what could be another high-scoring showcase when the Denver Nuggets host the Washington Wizards at Ball Arena.
Denver Nuggets vs. Washington Wizards prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Denver Nuggets vs Washington Wizards matchup, our predictive model gives the Nuggets an 83.5% chance of defeating the Wizards.
Pre-game probabilities
Denver Nuggets
Moneyline
Win %
83.5%
16.5%
Washington Wizards
Denver Nuggets: 83.5% win probability
- Strong offensive output (8,121 goals scored - 2nd highest in Western Conference)
- Solid win record (43 wins in 67 games - 2nd in Western Conference)
- Consistent recent performance (WLWLW in last 5 games)
Washington Wizards: 16.5% win probability
- Poor defensive record (7,841 goals against - worst in Eastern Conference)
- League-bottom position (15th in Eastern Conference with 14-51 record)
- Significant scoring deficit (-778 goal differential, indicating structural defensive issues)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts..
| Denver Nuggets | Washington Wizards | |
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Denver Nuggets vs. Washington Wizards preview
The red-hot Denver Nuggets are looking to extend their dominant home stretch at Ball Arena when they face the struggling Washington Wizards this Saturday night.
Fresh off a statement win against the Thunder where they shot a blistering 60.5% from the field, the Nuggets' offense continues to fire on all cylinders behind Nikola Jokic's monster 35-point, 18-rebound performance.
The Wizards, coming off a tough loss to Detroit, will need to find answers for the league's most efficient offense - Denver's 50.8% field goal percentage tops the NBA.
Marcus Smart's recent form could be a bright spot for Washington, as he dropped 16 points on 60% shooting in their last outing, but containing Jokic will be their biggest challenge.
The contrast in passing games couldn't be starker - Denver leads the league with 31.2 assists per game, while Washington ranks 22nd in total assists this season.
Ball Arena has been a fortress for the Nuggets (42-23), and they'll look to exploit the Wizards' league-worst defense that's giving up 120.5 points per game.
Keep an eye on the three-point battle - Denver's recent hot streak from beyond the arc (56.3% last game) could spell trouble for a Wizards team allowing opponents to shoot 36.5% from deep.
Denver Nuggets vs. Washington Wizards form
Denver Nuggets vs. Washington Wizards head to head
Denver Nuggets
83%
Washington Wizards
17%
Dec 8, 2024
Washington Wizards
122 : 113
Denver Nuggets
Feb 23, 2024
Denver Nuggets
130 : 110
Washington Wizards
Jan 21, 2024
Washington Wizards
104 : 113
Denver Nuggets
Mar 22, 2023
Washington Wizards
104 : 118
Denver Nuggets
Dec 15, 2022
Denver Nuggets
141 : 128
Washington Wizards
Mar 16, 2022
Washington Wizards
109 : 127
Denver Nuggets
