The surging New York Knicks bring their high-octane offense (117.1 PPG) into Chase Center to face a Warriors squad that's found their rhythm at home, setting up what promises to be an electric Saturday night matchup.
Both teams enter on the heels of impressive victories - the Knicks dismantled Sacramento with a scorching 53.6% shooting display, while Golden State lit up Portland behind Gary Payton II's explosive 26-point performance.
The Warriors' league-leading assist numbers (29.2 per game) will be put to the test against New York's stifling defense as the home team looks to protect their turf against the away team in what shapes up as a classic cross-conference battle.
Golden State Warriors vs. New York Knicks prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Golden State Warriors vs New York Knicks matchup, our predictive model gives the Warriors a 58% chance of defeating the Knicks.
Pre-game probabilities

Golden State Warriors
Moneyline
Win %
58%
42%

New York Knicks
Golden State Warriors: 58% win probability
- Red-hot momentum (Perfect 5-0 in recent form, WWWWW)
- Efficient scoring output (7511 points scored in 66 games, averaging 113.8 per game)
- Strong defensive efficiency (7338 points allowed, better than league average)
New York Knicks: 42% win probability
- Recent slump (2-3 in last five games, WWLLL showing inconsistency)
- Road game disadvantage (Playing away against Warriors' home court)
- Lower scoring output (7611 points in 65 games vs Warriors' 7511 in 66 games)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts..
Golden State Warriors | New York Knicks | |
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Moneyline |
Golden State Warriors vs. New York Knicks preview
The red-hot Knicks roll into Chase Center fresh off their dominant win over Sacramento, where they lit it up from downtown with 22 three-pointers.
While New York's offense has been clicking - they're sixth in the league at 117.1 points per game - they'll face a Warriors squad that's found their rhythm at home, as shown in their recent sharp-shooting display against Portland.
Keep your eyes on Gary Payton II, who's coming off a monster 26-point performance on 68.8% shooting, giving Golden State that extra spark they've been searching for.
The Knicks' defensive grit (holding opponents to 112.7 PPG) will be tested by the Warriors' third-ranked passing attack, which dishes out 29.2 assists per game.
This matchup pits New York's board-crashing style (43 rebounds per game) against Golden State's more fluid offensive approach - though both teams have shown they can light up the scoreboard when they're rolling.
The Warriors' home court advantage at Chase Center could be the x-factor, but don't count out these scrappy Knicks who've been proving doubters wrong all season.
With both teams fighting for playoff positioning, expect an intense, high-energy clash that'll come down to which squad can impose their style of play.
Golden State Warriors vs. New York Knicks form


Golden State Warriors vs. New York Knicks head to head

Golden State Warriors
67%

New York Knicks
33%
Mar 5, 2025
New York Knicks
102 : 114
Golden State Warriors
Mar 19, 2024
Golden State Warriors
112 : 119
New York Knicks
Mar 1, 2024
New York Knicks
99 : 110
Golden State Warriors
Dec 21, 2022
New York Knicks
132 : 94
Golden State Warriors
Nov 19, 2022
Golden State Warriors
111 : 101
New York Knicks
Jul 9, 2022
New York Knicks
101 : 88
Golden State Warriors