The surging Colorado Avalanche, riding an impressive 7-0-1 streak, welcome their division rivals Dallas Stars to Ball Arena in what could be a playoff preview between two of the NHL's most potent offenses.
While the Stars bring their league-leading penalty kill and fourth-ranked scoring attack to Denver, they'll need to overcome their road struggles against an Avalanche team that's been nearly unstoppable at home with a 22-10-2 record this season.
The Colorado Avalanche look to continue their dominance over the Dallas Stars after winning their last meeting 6-3, though the Stars hold a 6-3-1 edge in their previous ten matchups.
Colorado Avalanche vs. Dallas Stars prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars matchup, our predictive model gives the Avs a 70% chance of defeating the Stars.
Colorado Avalanche: 70% win probability
- Explosive offense (224 goals scored, 3rd highest in Western Conference)
- Strong recent momentum (Won 4 of last 5 games - WLWWW)
- Home ice advantage with consistent scoring (3.34 goals per game)
Dallas Stars: 30% win probability
- Inconsistent recent form (LWLWW showing vulnerability)
- Road game defensive struggles (2.62 goals against per game)
- Declining point production (86 points through 65 games, falling behind conference leaders)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
Colorado Avalanche vs. Dallas Stars odds
Here are the latest odds for this NHL matchup as the Dallas Stars head to Colorado to face the home team Avalanche on Sunday, March 16.
| Colorado Avalanche | Dallas Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -135 (via BetMGM Sportsbook) | +115 (via BetMGM Sportsbook) |
Colorado Avalanche vs. Dallas Stars preview
The red-hot Colorado Avalanche host the Dallas Stars in what could be a playoff preview at Ball Arena, with both teams looking to strengthen their positions in a tight Central Division race.
The Avs are riding an impressive 7-0-1 streak, including their recent 4-2 road win over Calgary where Parker Kelly's two-goal performance stole the show.
Dallas has hit a rough patch, dropping two of their last three, but they'll get a major boost with Roope Hintz expected to return to the lineup after missing several games with an upper-body injury.
While the Stars boast the NHL's best penalty kill at 84.6%, they'll have their hands full containing Colorado's dynamic offense that's been averaging nearly four goals per game during their hot streak.
The home team has won both matchups this season, including Colorado's 6-3 victory in their most recent clash back in January.
Jake Oettinger will face off against Mackenzie Blackwood between the pipes in what's shaping up to be a classic Central Division showdown.
The Stars' road struggles (18-14-1) contrast sharply with their dominant home record, while the Avalanche have turned Ball Arena into a fortress with a solid 22-10-2 mark on home ice.
With both teams ranking among the league's top offensive units and the previous meetings this season turning into high-scoring affairs, fans should buckle up for what promises to be an entertaining Sunday afternoon clash in the Mile High City.
Key stats
- 1Dallas Stars (2nd) hold a 3-point advantage over Colorado Avalanche (4th) in Western Conference standings
- 2Colorado shows stronger recent momentum with WLWWW form versus Dallas' LWLWW record
- 3Dallas maintains better defensive stats with 170 goals against compared to Colorado's 194
- 4Avalanche leads in scoring output with 224 goals for, while Stars have netted 222
Colorado Avalanche vs. Dallas Stars form
Colorado Avalanche vs. Dallas Stars head to head
Colorado Avalanche
33%
Dallas Stars
67%
Jan 18, 2025
Colorado Avalanche
6 : 3
Dallas Stars
Nov 30, 2024
Dallas Stars
5 : 3
Colorado Avalanche
Sep 28, 2024
Dallas Stars
4 : 2
Colorado Avalanche
Sep 24, 2024
Colorado Avalanche
2 : 3
Dallas Stars
May 18, 2024
Colorado Avalanche
1 : 2
Dallas Stars
May 16, 2024
Dallas Stars
3 : 5
Colorado Avalanche
