The Dallas Mavericks host the Philadelphia 76ers in what could be a make-or-break game for both struggling teams, with Dallas clinging to the final play-in spot while Philly sits six games out of contention.
Both squads enter the matchup severely short-handed - the Sixers missing their big three of Embiid, Maxey, and George, while Dallas continues without Irving and Davis - though emerging talents like Brandon Williams and Jeff Dowtin Jr. have shown flashes of brilliance amid the chaos.
The Mavericks look to defend home court at American Airlines Center against a 76ers team that took the first meeting this season in a tight 118-116 contest.
Dallas Mavericks vs. Philadelphia 76ers prediction: who will win?
For today's Dallas Mavericks vs Philadelphia 76ers matchup, our predictive model gives the Mavs a 65% chance of defeating the Sixers.
Pre-game probabilities
Dallas Mavericks
Moneyline
Win %
65%
35%
Philadelphia 76ers
Dallas Mavericks: 65% win probability
- Superior offensive output (7,789 goals scored vs Sixers' 7,213)
- Better overall record (33 wins vs 22 wins)
- Higher league position (10th in West vs 12th in East)
Philadelphia 76ers: 35% win probability
- Struggling offense (Lowest scoring team in East with 7,213 goals)
- Poor recent form (LLLWL in last 5 games)
- Road game disadvantage (22-44 overall record shows road struggles)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts..
| Dallas Mavericks | Philadelphia 76ers | |
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Dallas Mavericks vs. Philadelphia 76ers preview
The struggling 76ers head to Dallas for a Sunday afternoon clash that's got both teams desperate for a win, with Philly riding a brutal stretch of 15 losses in their last 17 games.
While both squads are dealing with significant injuries - the Sixers missing their big three of Embiid, Maxey, and George, while Dallas is without Irving and Davis - it's been former Maverick Quentin Grimes who's emerged as a bright spot for Philly, dropping 25+ points in four of his last five.
The Mavericks' defense has been a real concern lately, giving up 122+ points in five straight games, though veteran Klay Thompson has shown flashes of his old self with a couple of 26-point performances in recent outings.
Dallas's three-point shooting could be the difference-maker here - they're launching about 44 attempts per game and connecting at a solid 36.8% clip, which could spell trouble for a Sixers team that ranks 28th in perimeter defense.
The last time these teams met, Philly squeaked out a 118-116 win, but both squads look drastically different now with their depleted rosters.
Keep an eye on Spencer Dinwiddie, who's stepped up with 20+ point games twice in his last four outings, trying to fill the offensive void left by Irving's absence.
This matchup kicks off a brutal six-game road trip for the Sixers, who've dropped their last five away games and haven't exactly been road warriors this season.
With both teams struggling to find their footing and dealing with makeshift lineups, expect a scrappy affair that could come down to which depleted roster can simply put together enough healthy bodies to make a run.
Dallas Mavericks vs. Philadelphia 76ers form
Dallas Mavericks vs. Philadelphia 76ers head to head
Dallas Mavericks
40%
Philadelphia 76ers
60%
Mar 16, 2025
Dallas Mavericks
0 : 0
Philadelphia 76ers
Feb 5, 2025
Philadelphia 76ers
118 : 116
Dallas Mavericks
Mar 3, 2024
Dallas Mavericks
116 : 120
Philadelphia 76ers
Feb 6, 2024
Philadelphia 76ers
102 : 118
Dallas Mavericks
Jul 11, 2023
Dallas Mavericks
111 : 103
Philadelphia 76ers
Mar 29, 2023
Philadelphia 76ers
116 : 108
Dallas Mavericks
