The TD Garden is set for a showdown between two teams desperate to turn their seasons around, as the Boston Bruins look to snap their recent skid that's seen them allow 12 goals in their last two losses.

While David Pastrnak and Pavel Zacha have been bright spots for the Bruins with their combined 122 points, they'll face a Sabres offense that's found its groove behind the dynamic duo of Tage Thompson and JJ Peterka, who've lit the lamp 53 times this season.

The matchup pits the struggling Bruins defense, anchored by an off-form Jeremy Swayman (.897 save percentage), against a Sabres team that's managed to score over three goals per game despite their position at the bottom of the Western Conference standings.

Boston Bruins vs. Buffalo Sabres prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Boston Bruins vs Buffalo Sabres matchup, our predictive model gives the Bruins a 51.33% chance of defeating the Sabres.

Boston Bruins: 51.33% win probability

  • Better goal-scoring efficiency (184 goals in 68 games vs Sabres' 206 in 65 games)
  • More consistent point accumulation (68 points vs Sabres' 58 points)
  • Superior games played to points ratio (1 point per game vs Sabres' 0.89 points per game)

Buffalo Sabres: 48.67% win probability

  • Poor defensive record (230 goals against, ranking 14th in Eastern Conference)
  • Inconsistent recent form (WLWLL showing volatility in performance)
  • Road game disadvantage (16th place in Eastern Conference with only 26 wins in 65 games)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

Boston Bruins vs. Buffalo Sabres odds

Here are the latest odds for the NHL matchup between the Buffalo Sabres and the home team Boston Bruins, set to face off on Monday, March 17.

Boston BruinsBuffalo Sabres
Moneyline-125 (via Caesars Sportsbook)+105 (via Caesars Sportsbook)

Boston Bruins vs. Buffalo Sabres preview

The struggling Bruins host the Sabres at TD Garden in what's shaping up to be a battle of underperforming teams looking to salvage their disappointing seasons.

Buffalo's offense has been their lone bright spot, with the dynamic duo of Tage Thompson and JJ Peterka combining for an impressive 53 goals and 57 assists, though their defensive woes have overshadowed any offensive success.

Boston's usually reliable David Pastrnak hasn't been enough to carry the team, as the Bruins' offense has hit a rough patch, managing just five goals in their last two outings while surrendering an alarming 12 goals during that span.

The Sabres' blue line pairing of Rasmus Dahlin and Bowen Byram has shown flashes of brilliance, but they'll need to tighten up their defensive coverage against a Bruins team that's desperate to break out of their scoring slump.

Both teams' goaltending situations tell the story of their seasons - Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen's struggles with a .888 save percentage for Buffalo mirror Jeremy Swayman's disappointing .897 for Boston.

Keep an eye on Alex Tuch and Jason Zucker, who've been quietly productive for the Sabres despite their team's overall struggles.

This matchup at TD Garden feels less like the classic Bruins-Sabres battles of old and more like two teams trying to find their identity in a season that's gotten away from them.

With both squads leaking goals lately, don't be surprised if this turns into an old-fashioned shootout despite their offensive struggles.

Key stats

  • 1
    Both teams sit in bottom 4 of Eastern Conference - Bruins 13th (68pts), Sabres 16th (58pts)
  • 2
    Bruins have lost 3 of last 5 (LLWWL), while Sabres show mixed form (WLWLL)
  • 3
    Sabres hold slight offensive edge with 206 goals scored vs Bruins' 184, despite playing 3 fewer games
  • 4
    Both teams struggle defensively - Bruins -34 goal difference (184/218), Sabres -24 (206/230)

Boston Bruins vs. Buffalo Sabres form

Boston Bruins
Boston Bruins
Latest matches
L
L
W
W
L
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Mar 15, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning6:2Boston Bruins
Mar 13, 2025
Ottawa Senators6:3Boston Bruins
Mar 11, 2025
Florida Panthers2:3Boston Bruins
Mar 8, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning0:4Boston Bruins
Mar 7, 2025
Carolina Hurricanes3:2Boston Bruins
Buffalo Sabres
Buffalo Sabres
Latest matches
W
L
W
L
L
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Mar 15, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights3:4Buffalo Sabres
Mar 12, 2025
Detroit Red Wings7:3Buffalo Sabres
Mar 10, 2025
Edmonton Oilers2:3Buffalo Sabres
Mar 8, 2025
Florida Panthers4:0Buffalo Sabres
Mar 7, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning6:5Buffalo Sabres

Boston Bruins vs. Buffalo Sabres head to head

Boston Bruins

50%

Buffalo Sabres

50%

Jan 29, 2025

Buffalo Sabres

7 : 2

Boston Bruins

Dec 22, 2024

Boston Bruins

3 : 1

Buffalo Sabres

Dec 28, 2023

Buffalo Sabres

1 : 4

Boston Bruins

Dec 8, 2023

Boston Bruins

1 : 3

Buffalo Sabres

Nov 15, 2023

Buffalo Sabres

2 : 5

Boston Bruins

Sep 26, 2023

Buffalo Sabres

4 : 1

Boston Bruins