Fresh off a tough loss to the Rockets, the Phoenix Suns (30-36) return to the Footprint Center hoping to rediscover their offensive rhythm against the visiting Toronto Raptors (23-43), with Bradley Beal's hot hand - coming off a 25-point performance on 64.3% shooting - potentially being the X-factor.
While the Suns boast the NBA's seventh-best field goal percentage at 48%, their defensive struggles have been evident, giving up 116.4 points per game - a vulnerability the Raptors might exploit despite their own offensive challenges, averaging just 110.8 points per contest.
The matchup pits Phoenix's fluid offense, dishing out 27.9 assists per game, against Toronto's scrappy defense that's been forcing 14.6 turnovers per contest, setting up an intriguing battle between the home team's firepower and the away team's defensive grit.
Phoenix Suns vs. Toronto Raptors prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Phoenix Suns vs Toronto Raptors matchup, our predictive model gives the Suns a 58.5% chance of defeating the Raptors.
Phoenix Suns: 58.5% win probability
- Superior offensive output (7764 goals scored vs Raptors' 7544)
- Better recent form (LWLLW vs Raptors' LWWWL)
- Higher league position (11th vs 11th in respective conferences)
Toronto Raptors: 41.5% win probability
- Struggling offense (7544 goals scored, bottom third in Eastern Conference)
- Poor road performance (24-44 overall record)
- Defensive vulnerabilities (7858 goals against, significantly higher than league average)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.
Phoenix Suns vs. Toronto Raptors odds
Here are the latest odds for this NBA matchup as the Phoenix Suns host the Toronto Raptors at home on Monday, March 17.
Phoenix Suns | Toronto Raptors | |
---|---|---|
Moneyline | -350 (via BetMGM Sportsbook) | +300 (via FanDuel Sportsbook) |
Phoenix Suns vs. Toronto Raptors preview
The struggling Raptors head to the Footprint Center riding an unexpected high after their impressive 118-105 victory over the 76ers, where A.J. Lawson lit up the court with 28 points.
Phoenix's recent stumble against Houston, despite Bradley Beal's efficient 25-point performance, has added pressure to their playoff aspirations.
The Suns' offensive prowess, ranking 7th in the league with a 48% field goal percentage, could prove challenging for Toronto's defense that's allowing opponents to shoot 46.7% from the field.
Both teams have shown vulnerability on the defensive end this season - the Suns giving up 116.4 points per game while the Raptors aren't far behind at 115.7.
Toronto's rebounding edge might be their silver lining, pulling down 44.7 boards per game compared to Phoenix's 42.6, though they'll need more than just glass cleaning to overcome their road woes.
Keep an eye on the three-point battle, where neither team has particularly excelled this season - the Raptors shooting 34.9% and the Suns allowing opponents to hit 36.4% from beyond the arc.
The Suns' home court advantage and superior ball movement (27.9 assists per game) could be the difference-maker in what's shaping up to be an intriguing Monday night matchup.
Key stats
- 1Phoenix Suns sit 11th in Western Conference with 31-37 record while Raptors hold 11th spot in East at 24-44
- 2Suns average more points per game (114.2) compared to Raptors' lower scoring output (110.9)
- 3Recent form shows Suns at LWLLW versus Raptors' LWWWL, both teams struggling with consistency
- 4Point differential tells a clear story: Suns (-134) performing better than Raptors' wider margin (-314)
Phoenix Suns vs. Toronto Raptors form


Phoenix Suns vs. Toronto Raptors head to head
Phoenix Suns
33%
Toronto Raptors
67%
Feb 23, 2025
Toronto Raptors
127 : 109
Phoenix Suns
Mar 8, 2024
Phoenix Suns
120 : 113
Toronto Raptors
Nov 30, 2023
Toronto Raptors
112 : 105
Phoenix Suns
Jan 31, 2023
Phoenix Suns
114 : 106
Toronto Raptors
Dec 31, 2022
Toronto Raptors
113 : 104
Phoenix Suns
Mar 12, 2022
Phoenix Suns
112 : 117
Toronto Raptors