Fresh off a tough loss to the Rockets, the Phoenix Suns (30-36) return to the Footprint Center hoping to rediscover their offensive rhythm against the visiting Toronto Raptors (23-43), with Bradley Beal's hot hand - coming off a 25-point performance on 64.3% shooting - potentially being the X-factor.

While the Suns boast the NBA's seventh-best field goal percentage at 48%, their defensive struggles have been evident, giving up 116.4 points per game - a vulnerability the Raptors might exploit despite their own offensive challenges, averaging just 110.8 points per contest.

The matchup pits Phoenix's fluid offense, dishing out 27.9 assists per game, against Toronto's scrappy defense that's been forcing 14.6 turnovers per contest, setting up an intriguing battle between the home team's firepower and the away team's defensive grit.

Phoenix Suns vs. Toronto Raptors prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Phoenix Suns vs Toronto Raptors matchup, our predictive model gives the Suns a 58.5% chance of defeating the Raptors.

Phoenix Suns: 58.5% win probability

  • Superior offensive output (7764 goals scored vs Raptors' 7544)
  • Better recent form (LWLLW vs Raptors' LWWWL)
  • Higher league position (11th vs 11th in respective conferences)

Toronto Raptors: 41.5% win probability

  • Struggling offense (7544 goals scored, bottom third in Eastern Conference)
  • Poor road performance (24-44 overall record)
  • Defensive vulnerabilities (7858 goals against, significantly higher than league average)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.

Phoenix Suns vs. Toronto Raptors odds

Here are the latest odds for this NBA matchup as the Phoenix Suns host the Toronto Raptors at home on Monday, March 17.

Phoenix SunsToronto Raptors
Moneyline-350 (via BetMGM Sportsbook)+300 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)

Phoenix Suns vs. Toronto Raptors preview

The struggling Raptors head to the Footprint Center riding an unexpected high after their impressive 118-105 victory over the 76ers, where A.J. Lawson lit up the court with 28 points.

Phoenix's recent stumble against Houston, despite Bradley Beal's efficient 25-point performance, has added pressure to their playoff aspirations.

The Suns' offensive prowess, ranking 7th in the league with a 48% field goal percentage, could prove challenging for Toronto's defense that's allowing opponents to shoot 46.7% from the field.

Both teams have shown vulnerability on the defensive end this season - the Suns giving up 116.4 points per game while the Raptors aren't far behind at 115.7.

Toronto's rebounding edge might be their silver lining, pulling down 44.7 boards per game compared to Phoenix's 42.6, though they'll need more than just glass cleaning to overcome their road woes.

Keep an eye on the three-point battle, where neither team has particularly excelled this season - the Raptors shooting 34.9% and the Suns allowing opponents to hit 36.4% from beyond the arc.

The Suns' home court advantage and superior ball movement (27.9 assists per game) could be the difference-maker in what's shaping up to be an intriguing Monday night matchup.

Key stats

  • 1
    Phoenix Suns sit 11th in Western Conference with 31-37 record while Raptors hold 11th spot in East at 24-44
  • 2
    Suns average more points per game (114.2) compared to Raptors' lower scoring output (110.9)
  • 3
    Recent form shows Suns at LWLLW versus Raptors' LWWWL, both teams struggling with consistency
  • 4
    Point differential tells a clear story: Suns (-134) performing better than Raptors' wider margin (-314)

Phoenix Suns vs. Toronto Raptors form

Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns
Latest matches
L
W
L
L
W
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Mar 16, 2025
Los Angeles Lakers107:96Phoenix Suns
Mar 15, 2025
Sacramento Kings106:122Phoenix Suns
Mar 13, 2025
Houston Rockets111:104Phoenix Suns
Mar 11, 2025
Memphis Grizzlies120:118Phoenix Suns
Mar 9, 2025
Dallas Mavericks116:125Phoenix Suns
Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors
Latest matches
L
W
W
W
L
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Mar 16, 2025
Portland Trail Blazers105:102Toronto Raptors
Mar 15, 2025
Utah Jazz118:126Toronto Raptors
Mar 12, 2025
Philadelphia 76ers105:118Toronto Raptors
Mar 10, 2025
Washington Wizards104:119Toronto Raptors
Mar 9, 2025
Washington Wizards118:117Toronto Raptors

Phoenix Suns vs. Toronto Raptors head to head

Phoenix Suns

33%

Toronto Raptors

67%

Feb 23, 2025

Toronto Raptors

127 : 109

Phoenix Suns

Mar 8, 2024

Phoenix Suns

120 : 113

Toronto Raptors

Nov 30, 2023

Toronto Raptors

112 : 105

Phoenix Suns

Jan 31, 2023

Phoenix Suns

114 : 106

Toronto Raptors

Dec 31, 2022

Toronto Raptors

113 : 104

Phoenix Suns

Mar 12, 2022

Phoenix Suns

112 : 117

Toronto Raptors