The red-hot Golden State Warriors bring their seven-game winning streak into a pivotal matchup against Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets at Chase Center on Monday night.
While the Warriors have found their rhythm since acquiring Jimmy Butler, shooting over 50% in their last three games, they'll face a serious test in containing a Nuggets offense that's averaging 121 points per game behind Jokic's recent 40-point outburst.
The home team Warriors look to close the 3.5-game gap in the Western Conference standings against an away team Nuggets squad that has dominated this matchup with a 9-1 record in their last 10 meetings.
Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets matchup, our predictive model gives the Warriors a 70% chance of defeating the Nuggets.
Pre-game probabilities

Golden State Warriors
Moneyline
Win %
70%
30%

Denver Nuggets
Golden State Warriors: 70% win probability
- Red-hot momentum (Perfect 5-0 recent form, WWWWW)
- Efficient scoring output (7608 points in 67 games, averaging 113.5 per game)
- Strong defensive presence (7432 points against, better than league average)
Denver Nuggets: 30% win probability
- Inconsistent recent form (LWLWL in last 5 games)
- Defensive struggles (7948 points against, among bottom half in conference)
- Road game vulnerability (43-25 overall record, but struggling away from home)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts..
Golden State Warriors | Denver Nuggets | |
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Moneyline |
Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets preview
The red-hot Warriors are looking to extend their impressive seven-game winning streak as they host the Nuggets at Chase Center in what promises to be a Western Conference slugfest.
Steph Curry's been lighting it up for Golden State, dropping 28 points in their last outing, while the addition of Jimmy Butler has transformed their season with 12 wins in their last 13 games.
The Nuggets, despite their recent stumble against Washington, remain a force to be reckoned with as Nikola Jokic continues his MVP-caliber campaign, fresh off a monster 40-point performance with 13 boards.
While Denver's dominated this matchup historically with a 9-1 record in their last 10 meetings, the Warriors' newfound defensive grit - holding opponents to just 110.9 points per game - could flip the script.
The battle on the boards might tell the story here, with Golden State snagging over 12 offensive rebounds per game at home, creating those extra possessions that drive opposing coaches crazy.
Keep an eye on the Murray-Curry backcourt showdown, with Murray coming off a solid 24-point outing and looking to match Curry's recent shooting clinic.
The Chase Center's gonna be rocking for this one, and with both teams fighting for playoff positioning in a packed Western Conference, expect fireworks from tip-off to the final buzzer.
Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets form


Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets head to head

Golden State Warriors
0%

Denver Nuggets
100%
Dec 4, 2024
Denver Nuggets
119 : 115
Golden State Warriors
Feb 26, 2024
Golden State Warriors
103 : 119
Denver Nuggets
Jan 5, 2024
Golden State Warriors
127 : 130
Denver Nuggets
Dec 25, 2023
Denver Nuggets
120 : 114
Golden State Warriors
Nov 9, 2023
Denver Nuggets
108 : 105
Golden State Warriors
Apr 3, 2023
Denver Nuggets
112 : 110
Golden State Warriors