The Chase Center braces for an epic clash as the Golden State Warriors host Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Milwaukee Bucks in what could be a pivotal game for both teams' playoff positioning.
With Steph Curry questionable due to a lower back strain and the Warriors coming off a grueling match against Denver, Golden State's depth will be tested against a Bucks squad led by Giannis's monster season averages of 30.4 points and 12.1 rebounds.
The Warriors (39-28) look to leverage their home court advantage against the Bucks (38-29), with both teams' recent roster shake-ups - including Jimmy Butler joining Golden State and Kyle Kuzma finding his groove in Milwaukee - adding fresh intrigue to this cross-conference showdown.
Golden State Warriors vs. Milwaukee Bucks prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Golden State Warriors vs Milwaukee Bucks matchup, our predictive model gives the Bucks a 65% chance of defeating the Warriors.
Pre-game probabilities
Milwaukee Bucks
Moneyline
Win %
65%
35%
Golden State Warriors
Milwaukee Bucks: 65% win probability
- Superior defensive efficiency (7548 points against in 67 games vs Warriors' 7546 in 68 games)
- Better overall win percentage (56.7% vs Warriors' 57.4%)
- Higher position in conference standings (4th in East vs Warriors' 6th in West)
Golden State Warriors: 35% win probability
- Lower scoring output (7713 points scored vs Bucks' 7691 in fewer games)
- Inconsistent defensive performance (7546 points allowed, ranking middle of conference)
- Less favorable conference position (6th place with more games played than competitors)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts..
| Golden State Warriors | Milwaukee Bucks | |
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Golden State Warriors vs. Milwaukee Bucks preview
The Chase Center is set for a heavyweight clash as Giannis Antetokounmpo's Bucks roll into town to face a Warriors squad that's riding high after their recent win over the Knicks.
Milwaukee's coming in fresh, but they'll need to shake off that tough loss to OKC where, despite Giannis dropping another triple-double, their offense looked a bit sluggish shooting under 40% from the field.
The Warriors have their hands full with this back-to-back set - they're dealing with Jokic one night and Giannis the next, plus there's that lingering question mark over Steph Curry's availability with his back strain.
Jimmy Butler's integration into the Warriors' system has been fascinating to watch - he's putting up 16.4 points per game since joining, though the team's still figuring out their spacing with him and Draymond on the floor.
The Bucks' revamped roster with additions like Kyle Kuzma and Gary Trent Jr. gives them some serious firepower around Giannis and Dame Lillard, who's been lighting it up from deep with 3.4 threes per game.
Golden State's defense, ranked 8th in points allowed, will have their work cut out containing Milwaukee's inside-out game, especially with their thin frontcourt rotation.
These teams last met in February when the Warriors snagged a 14-point win in Milwaukee, but this time they're catching the Bucks at the start of a five-game Western swing.
With both teams jockeying for playoff position - Warriors sitting 6th out West and Bucks holding onto 4th in the East - this late-season matchup carries some serious weight.
Golden State Warriors vs. Milwaukee Bucks form
Golden State Warriors vs. Milwaukee Bucks head to head
Golden State Warriors
50%
Milwaukee Bucks
50%
Feb 11, 2025
Milwaukee Bucks
111 : 125
Golden State Warriors
Mar 7, 2024
Golden State Warriors
125 : 90
Milwaukee Bucks
Jan 14, 2024
Milwaukee Bucks
129 : 118
Golden State Warriors
Mar 12, 2023
Golden State Warriors
125 : 116
Milwaukee Bucks
Dec 14, 2022
Milwaukee Bucks
128 : 111
Golden State Warriors
Mar 13, 2022
Golden State Warriors
122 : 109
Milwaukee Bucks
