The Scotiabank Arena is set for an electrifying matchup as the Toronto Maple Leafs (40-24-3) welcome the surging Colorado Avalanche (41-24-3), with both teams showcasing their offensive firepower this season - the Leafs averaging 3.21 goals per game behind the lethal trio of Marner, Matthews, and Nylander, while Colorado's attack sits at an impressive 3.34 goals per contest.
The battle between Mackenzie Blackwood's stellar .919 save percentage for Colorado and Toronto's Anthony Stolarz's equally impressive .918 could prove decisive, especially with elite defensemen like Cale Makar and Morgan Rielly patrolling their respective blue lines.
The Maple Leafs aim to leverage their home-ice advantage against an Avalanche squad riding a two-game winning streak, setting up what promises to be a fascinating clash between two of the NHL's most dynamic teams.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Colorado Avalanche prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche matchup, our predictive model gives the Avs a 70% chance of defeating the Leafs.
Pre-game probabilities
Colorado Avalanche
Moneyline
Win %
70%
30%
Toronto Maple Leafs
Colorado Avalanche: 70% win probability
- Explosive offense (228 goals scored, 4th in Western Conference)
- Strong recent momentum (WWLWW in last 5 games)
- Consistent point production (85 points in 68 games)
Toronto Maple Leafs: 30% win probability
- Defensive struggles (199 goals against, higher than top-3 teams)
- Inconsistent recent form (WLLWL in last 5 games)
- Lower points percentage (83 points in 67 games, trailing conference leaders)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts..
| Toronto Maple Leafs | Colorado Avalanche | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Colorado Avalanche preview
Tonight's clash at Scotiabank Arena pits two of the NHL's hottest teams against each other, with both the Avalanche and Maple Leafs riding impressive winning momentum into this matchup.
The Avs have been lighting up the scoreboard lately, with Nathan MacKinnon and Artturi Lehkonen's combined 144-point explosion leading their high-octane offense that's averaging north of 3.3 goals per game.
Toronto's own offensive firepower shouldn't be overlooked - the trio of Marner, Matthews, and Nylander have been absolutely clinical this season, racking up an eye-popping 211 points between them.
What makes this matchup particularly juicy is the battle between two of the league's most dynamic defensemen: Colorado's Cale Makar, who's having a monster year with 78 points, going head-to-head against Morgan Rielly's quarterback-style play from Toronto's blue line.
Both teams' netminders have been standing on their heads lately - Blackwood's been a wall for Colorado with a .919 save percentage, while Stolarz has matched that intensity for the Leafs, sporting similar numbers.
The special teams battle could be the difference-maker tonight, with Toronto's power play clicking at an impressive 25% while Colorado isn't far behind at 23%.
This one's got all the makings of a playoff-style showdown, with both teams looking to prove they're legitimate Stanley Cup contenders.
Keep an eye on the MacKinnon-Matthews matchup - these two superstars always seem to elevate their game when facing off against each other.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Colorado Avalanche form
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Colorado Avalanche head to head
Toronto Maple Leafs
33%
Colorado Avalanche
67%
Mar 9, 2025
Colorado Avalanche
7 : 4
Toronto Maple Leafs
Feb 25, 2024
Colorado Avalanche
3 : 4
Toronto Maple Leafs
Jan 14, 2024
Toronto Maple Leafs
3 : 5
Colorado Avalanche
Mar 15, 2023
Toronto Maple Leafs
1 : 2
Colorado Avalanche
Jan 1, 2023
Colorado Avalanche
2 : 6
Toronto Maple Leafs
Jan 9, 2022
Colorado Avalanche
5 : 4
Toronto Maple Leafs
