The red-hot Oklahoma City Thunder welcome a struggling Philadelphia 76ers squad to the Paycom Center, with the home team riding high on a 10-1 stretch while missing their superstar Shai Gilgeous-Alexander for this contest.
Despite missing key players including Joel Embiid, Paul George, and Kyle Lowry, the Sixers showed signs of life in their recent overtime battle with Houston, where Quentin Grimes exploded for 46 points in a losing effort.
The Thunder's league-leading defense looks to shut down a short-handed Sixers team that's dropped 16 of their last 19 games as the Western Conference powerhouse (56-12) squares off against the struggling visitors (23-45) in what promises to be an intriguing clash of teams heading in opposite directions.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Philadelphia 76ers prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Oklahoma City Thunder vs Philadelphia 76ers matchup, our predictive model gives the Thunder a 57.5% chance of defeating the Sixers.
Pre-game probabilities
Oklahoma City Thunder
Moneyline
Win %
57.5%
42.5%
Philadelphia 76ers
Oklahoma City Thunder: 57.5% win probability
- League-leading win record (56-12 record, best in Western Conference)
- Superior scoring efficiency (8131 points scored, ranking 3rd in total offense)
- Strong recent momentum (4-1 in last 5 games, WWWLW)
Philadelphia 76ers: 42.5% win probability
- Poor overall record (23-45, 12th in Eastern Conference)
- Struggling offense (7480 points scored, third-lowest in East)
- Defensive vulnerabilities (7819 points against, negative point differential)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts.
Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.
| Oklahoma City Thunder | Philadelphia 76ers | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Philadelphia 76ers preview
The red-hot Thunder welcome a struggling Sixers squad to Paycom Center in what's shaping up to be quite the contrast in momentum.
OKC's been absolutely crushing it lately, winning 10 of their last 11, with their suffocating defense holding opponents to a league-best 43.6% shooting - though they'll be without Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who's getting a well-deserved rest after dropping 31 points against Milwaukee.
Philly's going through a rough patch, dropping 16 of their last 19, but they showed some fight in their recent overtime thriller against Houston where Quentin Grimes exploded for 46 points.
The Sixers' depleted roster - missing Joel Embiid, Paul George, and Kyle Lowry - hasn't stopped them from putting up a fight, as evidenced by their 78-point first-half outburst against the Rockets.
What's particularly interesting is the Thunder's perfect 19-0 record in night games against teams with losing records, while the Sixers have historically played well at Paycom Center, winning their last four visits.
Keep an eye on Isaiah Hartenstein, who's been a force for OKC lately with his double-double performance against the Bucks, though his questionable status adds another layer of intrigue to this matchup.
The scoring trends suggest we might see some fireworks, with both teams' recent games consistently hitting the over.
Even with their superstar taking the night off, the Thunder's league-leading defense and deep roster make them heavy favorites, but don't count out these scrappy Sixers who've shown they can still light up the scoreboard when everything clicks.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Philadelphia 76ers form
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Philadelphia 76ers head to head
Oklahoma City Thunder
50%
Philadelphia 76ers
50%
Jan 15, 2025
Philadelphia 76ers
102 : 118
Oklahoma City Thunder
Jul 8, 2024
Philadelphia 76ers
102 : 92
Oklahoma City Thunder
Apr 2, 2024
Philadelphia 76ers
109 : 105
Oklahoma City Thunder
Nov 25, 2023
Oklahoma City Thunder
123 : 127
Philadelphia 76ers
Jul 6, 2023
Philadelphia 76ers
91 : 100
Oklahoma City Thunder
Jan 13, 2023
Philadelphia 76ers
114 : 133
Oklahoma City Thunder
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