The red-hot Washington Capitals welcome a floundering Philadelphia Flyers squad to Capital One Arena in a Metropolitan Division clash that perfectly illustrates the teams' divergent paths this season.
While the first-place Caps have been lighting up the scoreboard with 3.63 goals per game behind Dylan Strome's explosive offense and Logan Thompson's brick-wall goaltending, the Flyers can't seem to buy a goal lately, managing just nine tallies in their last seven outings.
The stage is set for an intriguing matchup as the home team Capitals (45-15-8) look to pad their Eastern Conference lead against the away team Flyers (28-33-8) who desperately need to find their scoring touch.
Washington Capitals vs. Philadelphia Flyers prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Washington Capitals vs Philadelphia Flyers matchup, our predictive model gives the Caps an 80% chance of defeating the Flyers.
Pre-game probabilities
Washington Capitals
Moneyline
Win %
80%
20%
Philadelphia Flyers
Washington Capitals: 80% win probability
- League-leading point total (98 points in 68 games)
- Elite offensive production (248 goals scored, highest in Eastern Conference)
- Strong recent momentum (WWLWW in last 5 games)
Philadelphia Flyers: 20% win probability
- Poor defensive record (234 goals against, 3rd worst in Eastern Conference)
- Struggling recent form (LLWLL in last 5 games)
- Road game disadvantage (15th place with only 64 points in 69 games)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts..
| Washington Capitals | Philadelphia Flyers | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
Washington Capitals vs. Philadelphia Flyers preview
The red-hot Washington Capitals are set to host a struggling Philadelphia Flyers squad in what's shaping up to be a classic Metropolitan Division mismatch at Capital One Arena.
The Caps have been flat-out dominant lately, with their dynamic offense led by Dylan Strome and Aliaksei Protas lighting up scoreboards to the tune of 3.63 goals per game.
What's really turned heads is Washington's lockdown defense - they're only giving up 2.54 goals per game, with Logan Thompson standing tall between the pipes with an impressive .917 save percentage.
The Flyers, meanwhile, can't seem to buy a goal these days, with only nine tallies in their last seven games despite the best efforts of Travis Konecny and rookie sensation Matvei Michkov.
John Carlson and Jakob Chychrun have been absolute monsters on Washington's blue line, contributing both offensively and defensively while making life miserable for opposing forwards.
Philly's Samuel Ersson has had a rough go of it in net, posting a concerning .886 save percentage that's likely keeping Flyers' coaches up at night.
The last time these teams met, the Caps showed why they're leading the Eastern Conference, and with their current form, they're looking to make another statement on home ice.
Keep an eye on Alex Ovechkin, who's been quietly effective alongside Pierre-Luc Dubois and Tom Wilson, forming a second scoring punch that's given Washington incredible offensive depth this season.
Washington Capitals vs. Philadelphia Flyers form
Washington Capitals vs. Philadelphia Flyers head to head
Washington Capitals
83%
Philadelphia Flyers
17%
Feb 7, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers
3 : 4
Washington Capitals
Oct 23, 2024
Washington Capitals
6 : 3
Philadelphia Flyers
Oct 22, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers
1 : 4
Washington Capitals
Sep 22, 2024
Washington Capitals
2 : 6
Philadelphia Flyers
Apr 16, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers
1 : 2
Washington Capitals
Mar 2, 2024
Washington Capitals
5 : 2
Philadelphia Flyers
