The injury-ravaged Philadelphia 76ers (23-46) roll into the Frost Bank Center to face a San Antonio Spurs (29-39) team that's been lighting up scoreboards with the NBA's top-ranked March offense despite missing Victor Wembanyama.
While Quentin Grimes has been a lone bright spot for Philly, dropping 28.5 points per game over his last ten outings including a 46-point explosion against Houston, the Sixers' 28th-ranked defense has been hemorrhaging 130 points per game during their recent slide.
The stage is set for what could be an offensive showcase as the home team Spurs, winners of three of their last five, take on the visiting Sixers who've dropped 17 of their previous 20 games.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Philadelphia 76ers prediction: who will win?
For tonight's San Antonio Spurs vs Philadelphia 76ers matchup, our predictive model gives the Spurs a 61.67% chance of defeating the Sixers.
Pre-game probabilities
San Antonio Spurs
Moneyline
Win %
62%
38%
Philadelphia 76ers
San Antonio Spurs: 61.67% win probability
- Better recent form (WLWLW compared to Sixers' LLWLL)
- Higher scoring efficiency (7768 points in 68 games vs 7580 points in 69 games)
- Superior defensive record (7920 points against vs 7952 points against)
Philadelphia 76ers: 38.33% win probability
- Poor road performance (23-46 overall record)
- Offensive struggles (averaging 109.8 points per game)
- Negative momentum (lost 3 of last 5 games)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.
| San Antonio Spurs | Philadelphia 76ers | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
San Antonio Spurs vs. Philadelphia 76ers preview
The struggling 76ers limp into San Antonio's Frost Bank Center missing nearly their entire starting lineup, with Joel Embiid, Paul George, and Andre Drummond all sidelined for the season.
There's been one bright spot in Philly's darkness though - Quentin Grimes has been absolutely lighting it up, dropping 46 against Houston last week and averaging nearly 29 points over his last ten games.
The Spurs aren't exactly having a dream season either, but they've found their offensive groove lately, leading the NBA in offensive rating this month despite losing Victor Wembanyama.
Sandro Mamukelashvili has emerged as an unlikely hero for San Antonio, coming off a ridiculous 34-point performance on 13-of-14 shooting against the Knicks.
While both teams are playing some seriously questionable defense (they're both bottom-three in March), their recent matchups have been turning into absolute scoring festivals.
The last time these teams met in December, Philly squeaked out a 111-106 win, but that was with a very different-looking Sixers squad.
With the Spurs finding their rhythm at home (18-16) and the Sixers struggling mightily on the road (11-24), this Friday night showdown could get ugly for the visitors.
Keep an eye on the Grimes-Mamukelashvili scoring duel - it might not be the star matchup we expected this season, but it's the one we've got.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Philadelphia 76ers form
San Antonio Spurs vs. Philadelphia 76ers head to head
San Antonio Spurs
17%
Philadelphia 76ers
83%
Dec 24, 2024
Philadelphia 76ers
111 : 106
San Antonio Spurs
Jul 20, 2024
San Antonio Spurs
80 : 96
Philadelphia 76ers
Apr 7, 2024
San Antonio Spurs
126 : 133
Philadelphia 76ers
Jan 23, 2024
Philadelphia 76ers
133 : 123
San Antonio Spurs
Feb 4, 2023
San Antonio Spurs
125 : 137
Philadelphia 76ers
Oct 22, 2022
Philadelphia 76ers
105 : 114
San Antonio Spurs
