Sunday's clash at the Intuit Dome pits two of the NBA's hottest teams against each other, with both the Clippers and Thunder riding impressive five-game win streaks into what promises to be an electric matchup.
While Oklahoma City has dominated the season series so far with three decisive victories, the Clippers' recent surge and full-strength roster featuring a locked-in James Harden and Kawhi Leonard could flip the script in this late-season battle.
The Los Angeles Clippers look to defend their home court against an Oklahoma City Thunder team that's been nearly unstoppable on the road, boasting a perfect 6-0 record against the spread in their last six away games.
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Los Angeles Clippers vs Oklahoma City Thunder matchup, our predictive model gives the Thunder a 65% chance of defeating the Clips.
Pre-game probabilities
Oklahoma City Thunder
Moneyline
Win %
65%
35%
Los Angeles Clippers
Oklahoma City Thunder: 65% win probability
- League-leading win record (58-12 record, best in Western Conference)
- Elite defensive efficiency (7491 points against, lowest in Western Conference)
- Dominant recent form (WWWWW in last 5 games)
Los Angeles Clippers: 35% win probability
- Lower win percentage (40-30 record compared to OKC's 58-12)
- Scoring differential gap (+237 vs OKC's +914 point differential)
- Lower conference standing (7th place vs OKC's 1st place position)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts.
Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.
| Los Angeles Clippers | Oklahoma City Thunder | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Los Angeles Clippers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder preview
The red-hot Thunder roll into LA's Intuit Dome riding a five-game win streak, but they're about to face a Clippers squad that's equally on fire with their own five-game winning run.
While OKC's Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been torching opponents - dropping 30 against Charlotte last time out - the possible absence of Jalen Williams and Lu Dort could throw a wrench in their usual offensive rhythm.
The Clippers' recent surge has been powered by James Harden finding his groove, with The Beard putting up 30 points in their last outing against Memphis, while Kawhi Leonard's two-way brilliance continues to anchor their championship aspirations.
What makes this matchup particularly spicy is OKC's chance to complete their first season sweep of the Clippers since 2017-18, having already beaten them three times this year.
The battle between the league's best defensive team in OKC (allowing just 107 points per game) and the Clippers' newfound offensive chemistry should make for some fascinating basketball.
Keep an eye on the three-point line, where both teams excel defensively - OKC leads the league in opponent three-point percentage at 33.9%, while LA isn't far behind at 35.1%.
The Clippers' home court advantage at their new Intuit Dome, combined with their full-strength roster, could finally give them the edge they've been missing in their previous matchups against the Thunder this season.
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder form
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder head to head
Los Angeles Clippers
50%
Oklahoma City Thunder
50%
Jan 3, 2025
Oklahoma City Thunder
116 : 98
Los Angeles Clippers
Nov 12, 2024
Oklahoma City Thunder
134 : 128
Los Angeles Clippers
Nov 3, 2024
Los Angeles Clippers
92 : 105
Oklahoma City Thunder
Feb 23, 2024
Oklahoma City Thunder
129 : 107
Los Angeles Clippers
Jan 17, 2024
Los Angeles Clippers
128 : 117
Oklahoma City Thunder
Dec 22, 2023
Oklahoma City Thunder
134 : 115
Los Angeles Clippers
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