The Ball Arena is set for a classic NHL showdown as the Colorado Avalanche, riding high on their recent success with wins against Ottawa and Montreal, welcome a Detroit Red Wings squad desperate to snap their six-game road losing streak.
Nathan MacKinnon's explosive offensive form, with 105 points this season, could prove decisive against a Red Wings defense that's been leaking goals on the road, having conceded 14 in their last three away games.
The stage is set for another chapter in this matchup between the home team Avalanche, who've won nine straight at Ball Arena, and the away team Red Wings, who'll need Lucas Raymond's 70-point scoring touch to overcome their road woes.
Colorado Avalanche vs. Detroit Red Wings prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Colorado Avalanche vs Detroit Red Wings matchup, our predictive model gives the Avs a 72.67% chance of defeating the Wings.
Pre-game probabilities
Colorado Avalanche
Moneyline
Win %
72.67%
27.33%
Detroit Red Wings
Colorado Avalanche: 72.67% win probability
- Explosive offense (239 goals scored, 4th highest in Western Conference)
- Strong playoff position (4th in Western Conference with 89 points)
- Momentum advantage (Recent form: WWLWW vs Detroit's WLLWL)
Detroit Red Wings: 27.33% win probability
- Poor defensive record (222 goals against, 12th in Eastern Conference)
- Inconsistent road performance (33 losses, bottom half of Eastern Conference)
- Scoring struggles (203 goals scored, 4th lowest among playoff contenders)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts.
Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
| Colorado Avalanche | Detroit Red Wings | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Colorado Avalanche vs. Detroit Red Wings preview
The red-hot Colorado Avalanche welcome a struggling Detroit Red Wings squad to Ball Arena in what's shaping up to be a classic mismatch of teams heading in opposite directions.
Nathan MacKinnon has been absolutely lighting it up for the Avs, racking up an impressive 105 points with 77 assists, while the defensive pairing of Cale Makar continues to dazzle with 81 points of his own.
Detroit's road woes have been brutal - they've dropped six straight away from home while giving up a concerning 14 goals in their last three road games.
There's a glimmer of hope for the Wings in Lucas Raymond's stellar season (70 points) and Dylan Larkin's consistent production (62 points), but they'll need to shore up that league-worst penalty kill if they want any chance against Colorado's potent power play.
The Avs have been flat-out dominant in this matchup lately, going 9-0-1 in their last 10 against Detroit, and their current home streak of nine straight wins makes them look pretty unstoppable.
Keep an eye on Mackenzie Blackwood between the pipes for Colorado - he's been rock-solid with a 2.22 GAA and could be the difference-maker against a Detroit offense that's managed just six goals in their last three road games.
The special teams battle could tell the story here, with Colorado converting 24% of their power plays while Detroit's been surprisingly effective with a 29% conversion rate - though their penalty kill remains their Achilles' heel.
With Samuel Girard questionable for Colorado and Detroit dealing with their own injury concerns in Gustafsson and Soderblom, both teams might need to shuffle their lines a bit to find the right chemistry.
Colorado Avalanche vs. Detroit Red Wings form
Colorado Avalanche vs. Detroit Red Wings head to head
Colorado Avalanche
83%
Detroit Red Wings
17%
Dec 8, 2024
Detroit Red Wings
1 : 2
Colorado Avalanche
Mar 7, 2024
Colorado Avalanche
7 : 2
Detroit Red Wings
Feb 23, 2024
Detroit Red Wings
2 : 1
Colorado Avalanche
Mar 18, 2023
Detroit Red Wings
1 : 5
Colorado Avalanche
Jan 16, 2023
Colorado Avalanche
6 : 3
Detroit Red Wings
Feb 24, 2022
Detroit Red Wings
2 : 5
Colorado Avalanche
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