The Toronto Maple Leafs welcome the Philadelphia Flyers to Scotiabank Arena on Tuesday night with vastly different momentum swings - Toronto sits just two points out of first place while Philadelphia has dropped nine of their last ten games.
The matchup features a stark contrast in offensive firepower, with the Leafs' dynamic trio of Matthews, Marner, and Nylander combining for 209 points this season against a Flyers squad that's managed just eight goals in their past five outings.
The stage is set for an intriguing clash as the home team Maple Leafs look to continue their dominance over the away team Flyers, having already claimed both previous meetings this season.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Philadelphia Flyers prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers matchup, our predictive model gives the Leafs an 80% chance of defeating the Flyers.
Pre-game probabilities
Toronto Maple Leafs
Moneyline
Win %
80%
20%
Philadelphia Flyers
Toronto Maple Leafs: 80% win probability
- Potent offense (224 goals scored, 4th highest in Eastern Conference)
- Strong playoff position (4th in East with 87 points in 70 games)
- Momentum advantage (3-2 record in last 5 games vs Flyers' 0-5)
Philadelphia Flyers: 20% win probability
- Poor defensive record (247 goals against, 3rd worst in Eastern Conference)
- Current losing streak (5 consecutive losses shown in recent form)
- Road struggles (28 wins in 72 games, 15th place in Eastern Conference)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts..
| Toronto Maple Leafs | Philadelphia Flyers | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Philadelphia Flyers preview
The Maple Leafs welcome a struggling Flyers squad to Scotiabank Arena in what could be a crucial game for Toronto's push toward the division summit.
Toronto's been red-hot lately, with three wins in their last four, while Philly's hit rock bottom with nine losses in their last ten - talk about two teams heading in opposite directions.
Keep your eyes on Auston Matthews, who's having his best month of the season and has buried four goals in his last five games, though the real story might be Mitch Marner's stellar 85-point campaign.
The Flyers' young gun Matvei Michkov has been one of the few bright spots in their disappointing season, but even he's cooled off with just six points this month.
Toronto's netminder Anthony Stolarz has been a wall between the pipes, sporting a sparkling .918 save percentage - he'll likely get the nod against his former team.
The Leafs have had Philly's number this year, taking both previous matchups, and they'll look to complete the season sweep while chasing that top spot in the division.
With the Flyers giving up seven goals to Chicago in their last outing, Toronto's high-powered offense must be licking their chops at the prospect of facing this leaky defense.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Philadelphia Flyers form
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Philadelphia Flyers head to head
Toronto Maple Leafs
83%
Philadelphia Flyers
17%
Jan 8, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers
2 : 3
Toronto Maple Leafs
Jan 6, 2025
Toronto Maple Leafs
3 : 2
Philadelphia Flyers
Mar 19, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers
4 : 3
Toronto Maple Leafs
Mar 14, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers
2 : 6
Toronto Maple Leafs
Feb 16, 2024
Toronto Maple Leafs
4 : 3
Philadelphia Flyers
Jan 9, 2023
Philadelphia Flyers
2 : 6
Toronto Maple Leafs
