The Detroit Pistons (40-32) look to continue their impressive run at Little Caesars Arena, where they've won five of their last eight games, as they welcome a resurgent San Antonio Spurs (31-39) squad that's riding a three-game winning streak.
Both teams enter Tuesday's matchup with momentum on their side - the Pistons fresh off a high-scoring 136-130 victory over the Pelicans where Ron Holland dropped 26 points, while the Spurs are coming in hot after demolishing the Raptors 123-89 behind Devin Vassell's efficient 25-point performance.
The Pistons aim to replicate their dominant 125-110 road win over the Spurs from their February meeting, but San Antonio's recent offensive surge, averaging 114.6 points per game, sets up what should be an electric showdown between the home team's fast-break prowess and the away team's crisp passing game.
Detroit Pistons vs. San Antonio Spurs prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Detroit Pistons vs San Antonio Spurs matchup, our predictive model gives the Pistons a 72.5% chance of defeating the Spurs.
Pre-game probabilities
Detroit Pistons
Moneyline
Win %
72.5%
27.5%
San Antonio Spurs
Detroit Pistons: 72.5% win probability
- Higher league position (6th in East vs 13th in West)
- Better scoring efficiency (8,305 points scored in 72 games vs Spurs' 8,019 in 70 games)
- More consistent win record (40 wins vs 31 wins)
San Antonio Spurs: 27.5% win probability
- Poor defensive record (8,129 goals against in 70 games)
- Lower win percentage (31 wins in 70 games, 44.3% win rate)
- Inconsistent road performance (13th place in Western Conference)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts..
| Detroit Pistons | San Antonio Spurs | |
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Detroit Pistons vs. San Antonio Spurs preview
The red-hot Spurs roll into Detroit's Little Caesars Arena riding a three-game winning streak, with their latest victory being a dominant 123-89 dismantling of the Raptors.
Devin Vassell has been lighting it up for San Antonio, coming off a stellar performance where he dropped 25 points on an efficient 78.6% shooting, while the Pistons' Ron Holland matched that energy with 26 points of his own in their recent win over New Orleans.
Detroit's been taking care of business lately, winning five of their last eight, and they've shown they've got San Antonio's number - just look at their 125-110 road win over the Spurs last month.
The Pistons' high-octane offense ranks second in the league in fast-break points (19.1 per game), which could spell trouble for a Spurs defense that's been struggling to contain opponents, giving up 116.1 points per game.
Both teams might be shorthanded tonight - the Spurs are missing De'Aaron Fox and Charles Bassey, while Detroit's keeping tabs on Cade Cunningham and Tim Hardaway Jr., who are game-time decisions.
Keep an eye on Julian Champagnie, who's been a spark plug off the Spurs' bench, dropping 20 points in their last outing, while Detroit's Jalen Duren has been a force in the paint, coming off a solid 22-point, 12-rebound double-double.
The Pistons have been particularly tough against teams with losing records, winning 13 of their last 15 such matchups, which doesn't bode well for the 31-39 Spurs.
This cross-conference clash promises plenty of fireworks, with both teams averaging north of 114 points per game and showing they're not afraid to push the pace.
Detroit Pistons vs. San Antonio Spurs form
Detroit Pistons vs. San Antonio Spurs head to head
Detroit Pistons
80%
San Antonio Spurs
20%
Mar 25, 2025
Detroit Pistons
0 : 0
San Antonio Spurs
Feb 22, 2025
San Antonio Spurs
110 : 125
Detroit Pistons
Apr 14, 2024
San Antonio Spurs
123 : 95
Detroit Pistons
Jan 11, 2024
Detroit Pistons
108 : 130
San Antonio Spurs
Jul 15, 2023
Detroit Pistons
79 : 73
San Antonio Spurs
Feb 11, 2023
Detroit Pistons
138 : 131
San Antonio Spurs
