The red-hot Denver Nuggets (45-28), who lead the NBA in both field goal percentage and assists, welcome Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Milwaukee Bucks (40-31) to Ball Arena in what promises to be an offensive spectacle.
Both teams enter Wednesday's clash looking to bounce back from recent losses - the Bucks falling short against Phoenix despite Giannis's 31-point performance, while the Nuggets dropped their last outing to Chicago even with Jamal Murray's impressive 28-point showing.
The matchup pits the league's most efficient offense in Denver, averaging 120.7 points per game, against Milwaukee's stingy defense that's holding opponents to just 112.1 points per contest, setting up an intriguing battle between the home team's firepower and the away team's defensive grit.
Denver Nuggets vs. Milwaukee Bucks prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks matchup, our predictive model gives the Nuggets a 58% chance of defeating the Bucks.
Pre-game probabilities
Denver Nuggets
Moneyline
Win %
58%
42%
Milwaukee Bucks
Denver Nuggets: 58% win probability
- Superior offensive output (8,810 points scored this season, 2nd highest in Western Conference)
- Better overall record (45 wins vs Bucks' 40 wins)
- Higher league position (3rd in West vs 5th in East)
Milwaukee Bucks: 42% win probability
- Recent inconsistent form (LWWLL in last 5 games)
- Lower scoring efficiency (8,122 points scored vs Nuggets' 8,810)
- Road game disadvantage (40-31 record vs Nuggets' home court advantage)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts..
| Denver Nuggets | Milwaukee Bucks | |
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Denver Nuggets vs. Milwaukee Bucks preview
The defending champion Nuggets welcome the Bucks to Ball Arena in what promises to be an electrifying clash between two NBA powerhouses.
Denver's been lighting it up on offense, leading the league in both field goal percentage and assists, but their recent stumble against the Bulls exposed some defensive vulnerabilities that Giannis and company might look to exploit.
Speaking of the Greek Freak, he's coming in hot after dropping 31 points and 10 boards against Phoenix, though the Bucks couldn't quite seal the deal in that one.
The Nuggets' Jamal Murray's found his rhythm too, fresh off a 28-point performance with seven dimes - and he'll need to keep that momentum going to match Milwaukee's firepower.
While both teams can fill up the stat sheet, it's their contrasting styles that make this matchup fascinating: Denver's surgical offense (50.5% from the field) against Milwaukee's stingier defense (allowing just 112.1 points per game).
The Bucks' road form has been shaky lately, but they've got the weapons to make this interesting, especially if they can exploit Denver's surprisingly generous perimeter defense.
Ball Arena's altitude could be a factor late in the game, particularly if it turns into a back-and-forth scoring fest.
Keep an eye on the battle of the boards - Denver's been dominant on the offensive glass lately, pulling down 17 in their last outing, which could spell trouble for a Bucks team that's been struggling in that department.
Denver Nuggets vs. Milwaukee Bucks form
Denver Nuggets vs. Milwaukee Bucks head to head
Denver Nuggets
67%
Milwaukee Bucks
33%
Feb 28, 2025
Milwaukee Bucks
121 : 112
Denver Nuggets
Feb 13, 2024
Milwaukee Bucks
112 : 95
Denver Nuggets
Jan 30, 2024
Denver Nuggets
113 : 107
Milwaukee Bucks
Jul 7, 2023
Milwaukee Bucks
92 : 85
Denver Nuggets
Mar 26, 2023
Denver Nuggets
129 : 106
Milwaukee Bucks
Jan 26, 2023
Milwaukee Bucks
107 : 99
Denver Nuggets
