The Dallas Stars head into Rogers Place riding high after their recent shutout victory against Minnesota, while the Edmonton Oilers must navigate life without superstars Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl for this pivotal matchup.
Jake Oettinger's stellar performance between the pipes for Dallas, coupled with the Stars' fourth-ranked defense allowing just 2.57 goals per game, could prove decisive against an Oilers team that's somehow managed to keep winning despite missing their offensive firepower.
The Stars (-130) look to split the season series as they face the Oilers (+110) in what promises to be an intense battle at Rogers Place.
Edmonton Oilers vs. Dallas Stars prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Edmonton Oilers vs Dallas Stars matchup, our predictive model gives the Stars a 70% chance of defeating the Oilers.
Pre-game probabilities
Dallas Stars
Moneyline
Win %
70%
30%
Edmonton Oilers
Dallas Stars: 70% win probability
- Superior goal differential (+55 goals on the season)
- Higher league position (2nd in Western Conference with 94 points)
- Better recent consistency (8 wins in last 10 games)
Edmonton Oilers: 30% win probability
- Lower points total (87 points in 70 games played)
- Weaker defensive record (203 goals against vs Stars' 182)
- Lower win percentage (41 wins vs Stars' 45 despite same games played)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts..
| Edmonton Oilers | Dallas Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Edmonton Oilers vs. Dallas Stars preview
The Stars roll into Rogers Place looking to settle the score after Edmonton nearly gave them a heart attack in their last meetup, where the Oilers almost coughed up a four-goal lead in a wild 5-4 finish.
Dallas's defensive prowess has been on full display lately, with Jake Oettinger coming off a stellar shutout against Minnesota and the team boasting the fourth-best goals-against average in the NHL.
The Oilers are facing a serious uphill battle without their dynamic duo of Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl, but Ryan Nugent-Hopkins stepped up big time with a hat trick in their last outing against Seattle.
Both teams are riding some decent momentum - Dallas just wrapped up a solid homestand going 3-0-1, while Edmonton's grabbed wins in four of their last five despite missing their superstars.
The Stars' balanced attack and stingy defense (they're giving up just 2.57 goals per game) could be the difference-maker against an Oilers squad that's had to reinvent itself on the fly.
Keep an eye on Stuart Skinner between the pipes for Edmonton - he's been a bit shaky lately, giving up four goals on 32 shots in his last start.
This one's got all the makings of another classic Western Conference showdown, with both teams trying to strengthen their playoff positioning in their final regular-season matchup.
It's worth noting that seven of the last ten meetings between these clubs have been absolute barnburners, with plenty of goals to go around.
Edmonton Oilers vs. Dallas Stars form
Edmonton Oilers vs. Dallas Stars head to head
Edmonton Oilers
67%
Dallas Stars
33%
Mar 9, 2025
Edmonton Oilers
5 : 4
Dallas Stars
Oct 19, 2024
Dallas Stars
4 : 1
Edmonton Oilers
Jun 3, 2024
Edmonton Oilers
2 : 1
Dallas Stars
Jun 1, 2024
Dallas Stars
1 : 3
Edmonton Oilers
May 30, 2024
Edmonton Oilers
5 : 2
Dallas Stars
May 28, 2024
Edmonton Oilers
3 : 5
Dallas Stars
