The surging Calgary Flames, riding a four-game winning streak and fighting for their playoff lives, welcome the formidable Dallas Stars to the Scotiabank Saddledome in what promises to be a defensive showdown between two of the NHL's stingiest teams.
While Dallas brings their potent offense led by the dynamic duo of Matt Duchene and Jason Robertson, Calgary's recent defensive masterclass - allowing just 10 goals in their last four games - could prove to be the difference-maker.
The clash between Jake Oettinger's Stars (2.57 goals against per game) and Dustin Wolf's Flames (2.91 goals against per game) sets up an intriguing battle between a legitimate Cup contender and a desperate home team looking to continue their late-season push.
Calgary Flames vs. Dallas Stars prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Calgary Flames vs Dallas Stars matchup, our predictive model gives the Stars a 65% chance of defeating the Flames.
Pre-game probabilities
Dallas Stars
Moneyline
Win %
65%
35%
Calgary Flames
Dallas Stars: 65% win probability
- Superior offensive output (241 goals scored vs Flames' 186)
- Better overall record (46 wins in 71 games vs Flames' 34 in 70)
- Higher league position (2nd in Western Conference vs Flames' 10th)
Calgary Flames: 35% win probability
- Struggling offense (186 goals scored, bottom third in conference)
- Inconsistent home performance (34 wins in 70 games overall)
- Defensive vulnerabilities (206 goals against vs Stars' 185)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts..
| Calgary Flames | Dallas Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Calgary Flames vs. Dallas Stars preview
The red-hot Calgary Flames, riding a four-game win streak, welcome the powerhouse Dallas Stars to the Scotiabank Saddledome in what's shaping up to be a classic defensive showdown.
Calgary's Dustin Wolf has been nothing short of spectacular between the pipes, posting a .911 save percentage while making highlight-reel saves that've kept the Flames in the playoff hunt.
The Stars' dynamic duo of Matt Duchene and Jason Robertson have been lighting it up with a combined 139 points this season, but they'll face a stiff test against Calgary's stingy defense that's allowed just 10 goals in their last four outings.
While Dallas boasts the league's sixth-best offense, averaging 3.36 goals per game, they're running into a Flames team that's found their defensive identity under MacKenzie Weegar and Rasmus Andersson's leadership.
The Stars' Jake Oettinger has been a wall in net with a 2.49 GAA, though he'll need to be at his best to contain Calgary's Nazem Kadri and Jonathan Huberdeau, who've quietly put together 111 points between them.
This matchup has all the makings of a chess match, with both teams' blue-liners likely to dictate the pace - Dallas's Thomas Harley's offensive flair from the point could be the x-factor.
The Saddledome crowd should be in for a treat as these Western Conference rivals duke it out in what's become a crucial late-season clash with playoff implications.
Calgary Flames vs. Dallas Stars form
Calgary Flames vs. Dallas Stars head to head
Calgary Flames
33%
Dallas Stars
67%
Mar 7, 2025
Dallas Stars
3 : 2
Calgary Flames
Dec 9, 2024
Dallas Stars
6 : 2
Calgary Flames
Dec 1, 2023
Calgary Flames
4 : 3
Dallas Stars
Nov 25, 2023
Dallas Stars
4 : 7
Calgary Flames
Nov 2, 2023
Calgary Flames
3 : 4
Dallas Stars
Mar 19, 2023
Calgary Flames
5 : 6
Dallas Stars
