In what could be a pivotal matchup for Western Conference play-in positioning, the Sacramento Kings host the Portland Trail Blazers with both teams desperate to reverse their recent fortunes.
The Kings, who've dropped nine of their last twelve games and sit precariously in the ninth seed, face a Trail Blazers squad that's shown surprising life lately, winning four of their last six despite missing key players Deandre Ayton and Jerami Grant.
The Sacramento Kings (35-37) take on the Portland Trail Blazers (32-41) at Golden 1 Center, where the home team has historically dominated Northwest Division opponents but faces a Blazers team that's already beaten them twice this season.
Sacramento Kings vs. Portland Trail Blazers prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Sacramento Kings vs Portland Trail Blazers matchup, our predictive model gives the Kings a 52.5% chance of defeating the Blazers.
Pre-game probabilities
Sacramento Kings
Moneyline
Win %
52.5%
47.5%
Portland Trail Blazers
Sacramento Kings: 52.5% win probability
- Superior offensive output (8,354 goals scored vs Blazers' 8,100)
- Better overall record (35 wins vs 32 wins)
- Higher scoring efficiency (116.0 points per game vs Blazers' 111.0)
Portland Trail Blazers: 47.5% win probability
- Defensive struggles (allowing 114.2 points per game)
- Poor road performance (41 losses overall)
- Lower scoring average (8,100 total points vs Kings' 8,354)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts..
| Sacramento Kings | Portland Trail Blazers | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Sacramento Kings vs. Portland Trail Blazers preview
The struggling Sacramento Kings host the Portland Trail Blazers at Golden 1 Center in what's shaping up to be a crucial matchup for both teams' play-in tournament hopes.
The Kings have hit a rough patch, dropping nine of their last twelve games and sliding to the ninth seed in the West, while the Blazers have shown surprising life lately, winning four of their last six despite their underdog status.
Sacramento's home court advantage might not mean much here - they've lost five of their last six as home favorites after a loss, and they're desperately missing Malik Monk's spark off the bench.
Portland's been quietly impressive this season against the spread (41-31-1), and they've already taken two of three matchups against the Kings this year, though they'll have to manage without Deandre Ayton's presence in the paint.
Keep an eye on the Kings' Domantas Sabonis, who's been a force on the boards but struggled to find his scoring touch lately, putting up just eight points in their recent loss to OKC.
The Blazers' Anfernee Simons (19.5 PPG) and Shaedon Sharpe (17.6 PPG) have been carrying the offensive load, but they'll need to step up their efficiency against a Kings defense that's been particularly vulnerable from beyond the arc.
With both teams fighting for their playoff lives and dealing with key injuries, expect this one to be closer than the standings might suggest.
Sacramento Kings vs. Portland Trail Blazers form
Sacramento Kings vs. Portland Trail Blazers head to head
Sacramento Kings
17%
Portland Trail Blazers
83%
Feb 7, 2025
Portland Trail Blazers
108 : 102
Sacramento Kings
Nov 30, 2024
Portland Trail Blazers
115 : 106
Sacramento Kings
Oct 29, 2024
Sacramento Kings
111 : 98
Portland Trail Blazers
Oct 13, 2024
Sacramento Kings
85 : 105
Portland Trail Blazers
Apr 14, 2024
Sacramento Kings
121 : 82
Portland Trail Blazers
Dec 27, 2023
Portland Trail Blazers
130 : 113
Sacramento Kings
