The Detroit Red Wings find themselves in a precarious position as they welcome the Ottawa Senators to Little Caesars Arena, with their playoff hopes fading after managing just three wins in their last ten games.
While Detroit's dynamic duo of Lucas Raymond and Dylan Larkin has produced impressive numbers with a combined 52 goals and 80 assists, their defensive struggles have been evident, allowing 16 goals in their last four outings.
The surging Senators, riding high with seven wins in their last ten and backed by Linus Ullmark's solid .908 save percentage, look to further cement their wild card position when the Red Wings host them in what promises to be a crucial Eastern Conference showdown.
Detroit Red Wings vs. Ottawa Senators prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Detroit Red Wings vs Ottawa Senators matchup, our predictive model gives the Sens a 52.5% chance of defeating the Wings.
Pre-game probabilities
Ottawa Senators
Moneyline
Win %
52.5%
47.5%
Detroit Red Wings
Ottawa Senators: 52.5% win probability
- Superior offensive output (204 goals scored vs Red Wings' 205 in fewer games played)
- Better goal differential (-1 compared to Red Wings' -22)
- Higher points percentage (79 points in 70 games vs Wings' 72 points in 71 games)
Detroit Red Wings: 47.5% win probability
- Poor defensive record (227 goals against, ranking bottom half in conference)
- Inconsistent recent form (LWLLW shows struggle for momentum)
- Lower conference standing (12th place with 72 points vs Senators' 7th place with 79 points)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts..
| Detroit Red Wings | Ottawa Senators | |
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| Moneyline |
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Detroit Red Wings vs. Ottawa Senators preview
The struggling Detroit Red Wings host a surging Ottawa Senators squad at Little Caesars Arena in what's shaping up to be a crucial matchup for both teams' playoff aspirations.
The Sens have been riding high with seven wins in their last ten, thanks largely to the dynamic duo of Tim Stutzle and Drake Batherson who've combined for an impressive 127 points this season.
Detroit's recent skid - just three wins in their last ten - has knocked them out of playoff position, with their once-potent offense drying up at the worst possible time.
The goaltending battle tells two very different stories: Ottawa's Linus Ullmark has been a wall between the pipes with a solid .908 save percentage, while Detroit's Cam Talbot has hit a rough patch, posting sub-.900 numbers.
Keep an eye on Red Wings captain Dylan Larkin, who's been one of the few bright spots in Detroit's offense alongside Lucas Raymond, though they'll face a stiff test against Ottawa's stingy defense that's allowed just five goals in their last two games.
The Senators' defensive pairing of Thomas Chabot and Jake Sanderson has been nothing short of spectacular, making life miserable for opposing forwards.
This one's got all the makings of a classic Original Six-era style defensive battle, with both teams desperately hunting for points in the Eastern Conference playoff race.
With Ottawa's recent defensive prowess and Detroit's scoring woes, don't expect a high-scoring affair at the Pizza Palace tonight.
Detroit Red Wings vs. Ottawa Senators form
Detroit Red Wings vs. Ottawa Senators head to head
Detroit Red Wings
17%
Ottawa Senators
83%
Mar 10, 2025
Ottawa Senators
2 : 1
Detroit Red Wings
Jan 8, 2025
Detroit Red Wings
3 : 2
Ottawa Senators
Dec 6, 2024
Ottawa Senators
2 : 1
Detroit Red Wings
Oct 4, 2024
Detroit Red Wings
3 : 4
Ottawa Senators
Feb 1, 2024
Detroit Red Wings
2 : 3
Ottawa Senators
Dec 10, 2023
Detroit Red Wings
1 : 5
Ottawa Senators
