The red-hot Indiana Pacers bring their high-octane offense (116.6 points per game) to the nation's capital, where they'll face a Wizards squad that's had serious defensive woes this season, allowing a league-worst 120.5 points per game.
Fresh off an impressive 119-103 victory over the Timberwolves, where Tyrese Haliburton dropped 24 points with 11 assists, the Pacers seem poised to exploit Washington's vulnerable defense that's letting opponents shoot 47.1% from the field.
The matchup at Capital One Arena pits a surging Pacers team (42-29) against a Wizards side (15-56) that's desperate to give their home fans something to cheer about, despite Jordan Poole's recent spark of offensive brilliance.
Washington Wizards vs. Indiana Pacers prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers matchup, our predictive model gives the Pacers a 77% chance of defeating the Wizards.
Pre-game probabilities
Indiana Pacers
Moneyline
Win %
77%
23%
Washington Wizards
Indiana Pacers: 77% win probability
- Strong offensive output (8,397 points scored this season)
- Solid positioning in Eastern Conference (4th place with 42 wins)
- Momentum advantage (LWWWW in recent form)
Washington Wizards: 23% win probability
- Poor defensive record (8,672 points against, worst in Eastern Conference)
- Struggling win rate (16-56 record, 15th in East)
- Inconsistent recent performance (WLLLL in last five games)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts..
| Washington Wizards | Indiana Pacers | |
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Washington Wizards vs. Indiana Pacers preview
The struggling Wizards host a red-hot Pacers squad at Capital One Arena in what's shaping up to be a classic offense-versus-defense mismatch.
Indiana's coming in with swagger after their impressive 119-103 win over the Timberwolves, where Tyrese Haliburton put on a clinic with 24 points and 11 assists in just 29 minutes.
The Wizards, fresh off a tough loss to Toronto, will need Jordan Poole to build on his efficient 23-point performance if they want to keep pace with Indiana's high-octane offense.
It's been a tale of two seasons - the Pacers are lighting up scoreboards with 116.6 points per game while the Wizards' defense has been their Achilles' heel, giving up a league-worst 120.5 points.
The matchup in the paint could be decisive, with Indiana's solid rebounding (41.3 per game) going up against Washington's struggles on the boards (ranked last in defensive rebounds).
Keep an eye on the three-point battle - the Pacers' 36.8% success rate from downtown could spell trouble for a Wizards team that's letting opponents shoot 36.5% from beyond the arc.
The contrast in ball movement is stark - Indiana's sixth-ranked assist numbers showcase their fluid offense, while Washington's been stuck in the bottom third of the league in that department.
This one's got all the makings of a shootout at Capital One Arena, though the Wizards will need to find answers for Haliburton's playmaking if they want to avoid another tough night.
Washington Wizards vs. Indiana Pacers form
Washington Wizards vs. Indiana Pacers head to head
Washington Wizards
20%
Indiana Pacers
80%
Mar 27, 2025
Washington Wizards
0 : 0
Indiana Pacers
Feb 13, 2025
Washington Wizards
130 : 134
Indiana Pacers
Nov 24, 2024
Indiana Pacers
115 : 103
Washington Wizards
Jan 11, 2024
Indiana Pacers
112 : 104
Washington Wizards
Dec 16, 2023
Washington Wizards
137 : 123
Indiana Pacers
Oct 25, 2023
Indiana Pacers
143 : 120
Washington Wizards
