With a blistering seven wins in their last ten games and MacKenzie Blackwood standing tall with a sparkling .919 save percentage, the Colorado Avalanche's high-powered offense led by Nathan MacKinnon might be too much for a Flames team clinging to playoff hopes.
Calgary's defensive corps has kept them competitive despite an anemic offense that's mustered just four goals in their last two outings, leaving Dustin Wolf (.909 save percentage) to shoulder a heavy burden in the crease.
The Ball Arena will set the stage for what could be a defensive showdown as the Colorado Avalanche welcome the Calgary Flames in a critical late-season matchup.
Colorado Avalanche vs. Calgary Flames prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Colorado Avalanche vs Calgary Flames matchup, our predictive model gives the Avs a 57.5% chance of defeating the Flames.
Pre-game probabilities
Colorado Avalanche
Moneyline
Win %
57.5%
42.5%
Calgary Flames
Colorado Avalanche: 57.5% win probability
- Explosive offense (249 goals scored, 4th highest in Western Conference)
- Excellent home ice advantage (45 wins overall, 4th in Western Conference)
- Strong recent form (LWWWW, won 4 of last 5 games)
Calgary Flames: 42.5% win probability
- Defensive struggles (214 goals against, 10th highest in Western Conference)
- Lower point total (80 points compared to Colorado's 93)
- Road game disadvantage (34-26-12 record vs Colorado's 45-26-3 record)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts..
| Colorado Avalanche | Calgary Flames | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
Best NHL sportsbook promos
Colorado Avalanche vs. Calgary Flames preview
The Colorado Avalanche host the Calgary Flames tomorrow night at Ball Arena in what could be a make-or-break game for the Flames' playoff hopes.
Calgary's offense has been downright anemic lately, scoring just four goals in their last two outings, while the Avs have been firing on all cylinders with 20 goals in their last five games.
Keep your eyes on Nathan MacKinnon and Martin Necas, who've combined for a ridiculous 40 goals and 94 assists to lead Colorado's high-powered attack.
Flames' netminder Dustin Wolf (2.67 GAA) will have his work cut out stopping Cale Makar, who's been a beast on both ends with 27 goals and 57 assists from the blue line.
The defensive battle might actually be where this game hinges - both teams allow fewer than three goals per game with Calgary at 2.94 and Colorado slightly better at 2.78.
Colorado's been practically impenetrable lately, conceding just four goals in their last three games behind MacKenzie Blackwood's stellar .919 save percentage.
For Calgary to pull off the upset, they'll need Jonathan Huberdeau and former Avalanche center Nazem Kadri to overcome Colorado's smothering defense.
The home crowd at Ball Arena should give the already-favored Avalanche an extra edge as they look to strengthen their position in the Central Division playoff race.
Colorado Avalanche vs. Calgary Flames form
Colorado Avalanche vs. Calgary Flames head to head
Colorado Avalanche
100%
Calgary Flames
0%
Mar 15, 2025
Calgary Flames
2 : 4
Colorado Avalanche
Feb 7, 2025
Calgary Flames
2 : 4
Colorado Avalanche
Mar 13, 2024
Calgary Flames
2 : 6
Colorado Avalanche
Dec 12, 2023
Colorado Avalanche
6 : 5
Calgary Flames
Nov 26, 2023
Colorado Avalanche
3 : 1
Calgary Flames
Feb 26, 2023
Colorado Avalanche
4 : 1
Calgary Flames
