The red-hot Boston Celtics bring their eight-game winning streak into FedExForum Monday night, looking to continue a dominant stretch that has seen them lose just one road game since late January, while the Grizzlies aim to snap out of a funk that's seen them drop six of their last eight games and slide to the fifth seed in the Western Conference.
Jayson Tatum's 27.2 points per game leads Boston's offensive attack, but the Celtics might need to navigate without Jaylen Brown's 22.4 points per night due to a knee injury, potentially opening the door for Memphis to capitalize at home despite their recent struggles.
The home crowd could be the spark Memphis needs as the Grizzlies hope to build on their impressive track record of winning four of their last five games as underdogs against Eastern Conference teams following a loss, setting up an intriguing Monday night battle between the surging Celtics and the desperate Grizzlies at FedExForum.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Boston Celtics prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Memphis Grizzlies vs Boston Celtics matchup, our predictive model gives the Celtics a 73.67% chance of defeating the Grizzlies.
Pre-game probabilities
Boston Celtics
Moneyline
Win %
73.67%
26.33%
Memphis Grizzlies
Boston Celtics: 73.67% win probability
- Elite win-loss record (55-19, second-best in the NBA)
- Outstanding defensive efficiency (allowing just 7974 points through 74 games)
- Perfect recent form (5-0 in their last five games, showing WWWWW)
Memphis Grizzlies: 26.33% win probability
- Poor recent form (2-3 in their last five games with LLWLL pattern)
- Defensive vulnerability (allowing 8665 points in 74 games)
- Inconsistent performance against top teams (positioned 5th in Western Conference despite negative momentum)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts..
| Memphis Grizzlies | Boston Celtics | |
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Memphis Grizzlies vs. Boston Celtics preview
The red-hot Celtics roll into FedExForum Monday night looking to extend their impressive eight-game winning streak against a Grizzlies squad that's been in freefall, dropping six of their last eight and recently firing their coach at the worst possible time.
Boston's dominance has been particularly evident on the road, where they've lost just once since late January, while Memphis has slipped to the fifth seed in the Western Conference despite their high-octane offense that leads the league in field goal attempts.
Kristaps Porzingis has been lighting it up for Boston, dropping 30 points in their last game against Phoenix, but the Celtics might be without Jaylen Brown due to a knee issue.
The Grizzlies will counter with Jaren Jackson Jr., who's been carrying the scoring load with 22.4 points per game and put up 27 in their recent loss to Oklahoma City.
Memphis excels in third-quarter production (32.1 points per game, best in the NBA) but their inconsistent play and defensive vulnerabilities have proven costly lately.
While the Grizzlies should get a boost with Ja Morant's expected return, Boston's league-leading three-point attack (17.9 made threes per game) could prove too much for Memphis to handle.
History doesn't favor the home team either – the Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in their last eight home games against winning teams.
I'd expect the Celtics to weather an early Memphis storm before pulling away in the second half, though a desperate Grizzlies team with their playoff positioning at stake could make this more interesting than the recent form suggests.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Boston Celtics form
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Boston Celtics head to head
Memphis Grizzlies
40%
Boston Celtics
60%
Mar 31, 2025
Memphis Grizzlies
0 : 0
Boston Celtics
Dec 8, 2024
Boston Celtics
121 : 127
Memphis Grizzlies
Feb 4, 2024
Boston Celtics
131 : 91
Memphis Grizzlies
Nov 20, 2023
Memphis Grizzlies
100 : 102
Boston Celtics
Feb 12, 2023
Boston Celtics
119 : 109
Memphis Grizzlies
Nov 8, 2022
Memphis Grizzlies
106 : 109
Boston Celtics
